← BackJose Quintana
COL · LHP · 2026
44.7 IP · 213 BF · 816 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
89
Stuff+
4th percentile
93
ABStuff+
2th percentile
99
Pitching+
19th percentile
11.7%
K%
5th percentile
8.9%
BB%
52th percentile
6.77
FIP
18th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 44.7 IP · 213 BF · 816 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+89
4th percentile
ABStuff+93
2th percentile
Whiff%19.8%
33th percentile
CSW%29.2%
11th percentile
Results
Pitching+99
19th percentile
RV/100-1.26
23th percentile
FIP6.77
18th percentile
RA/95.04
36th percentile
GB%34.3%
22th percentile
Command
K%11.7%
5th percentile
BB%8.9%
52th percentile
K-BB%2.8%
14th percentile
Velo85.6
5th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 44.7 IP · 213 BF · 816 pitches · 2026 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%12.3%
39th percentile
O-Whf%32.0%
21th percentile
Chase%31.4%
66th percentile
Z-Con%87.7%
39th percentile
O-Con%68.0%
21th percentile
SwStr%22.2%
5th percentile
PutAwy%10.5%
5th percentile
Approach
Zone%42.6%
5th percentile
Z-Swg%67.8%
59th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%46.9%
47th percentile
CS%17.0%
15th percentile
F-Str%45.8%
23th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF-1.2/+4.4CH-0.4/+1.0SI+2.7/+2.2SL+5.1/-6.5CB+4.2/-5.8ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.76 ft (±0.10)
Side: 2.48 ft (±0.12)
Extension: 6.43 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
54
31.5
35.2
24.1
0.0
83.7
25.8
35.2
SI
33
36.4
30.3
24.2
0.0
85.7
16.6
57.6
CH
32
37.5
25.0
25.0
0.0
80.4
11.8
18.8
CB
26
30.8
42.3
15.4
0.0
81.1
16.5
30.8
SL
21
38.1
38.1
19.0
0.0
77.3
11.5
28.6
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
54th pct
Effective mix
4.9
86th pct
Separation
17.3
23rd pct
Shape scatter
3.4 in
82nd pct
Velo range
10.9 mph
33rd pct
FF · CH · SI · SL · CB
2026 season, 816 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Run value by pitch2026 · measured
Pitch
Pitches
PA reach
RV/100
Lg avg
CB
126
96
-0.07
-0.34
CH
165
101
-1.93
-0.07
FF
231
131
+0.82
-0.01
SI
165
92
-2.33
+0.27
SL
129
84
-3.94
+0.04
RV/100 is pitcher-positive (runs saved per 100 pitches). These are results: on a sample this size most of the gap between pitchers is the bounce of the ball, so the column never colours and never ranks a grade. The expected-value half of this card (xRV/100, locations, xwOBA) needs the run-value model and does not ship yet.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.02
49th percentile
Where he throws
−0.14
22th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.13
88th percentile
Heart27.5%
+174.27/100
Shadow41.4%
+115.87/100
Chase21.1%
−286.13/100
Waste10.1%
−497.23/100
What makes up the total
heart · FB11.9%+0.25
chase · FB4.0%−0.22
heart · SI7.4%+0.18
shadow · CH7.5%+0.15
waste · SL3.4%−0.14
15 other locations−0.24
Total−0.02
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2026 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.