← BackJosé Ureña
CWS · RHP · 2023
40.0 IP · 205 BF · 771 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
97
Stuff+
32th percentile
98
ABStuff+
25th percentile
96
Pitching+
18th percentile
14.1%
K%
5th percentile
10.7%
BB%
28th percentile
8.31
FIP
6th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 40.0 IP · 205 BF · 771 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+97
32th percentile
ABStuff+98
25th percentile
Whiff%19.8%
26th percentile
CSW%30.9%
20th percentile
Results
Pitching+96
18th percentile
RV/100-2.02
11th percentile
FIP8.31
6th percentile
RA/93.15
79th percentile
GB%48.3%
72th percentile
Command
K%14.1%
5th percentile
BB%10.7%
28th percentile
K-BB%3.4%
11th percentile
Velo91.0
76th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 40.0 IP · 205 BF · 771 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%14.2%
41th percentile
O-Whf%30.0%
15th percentile
Chase%30.1%
67th percentile
Z-Con%85.8%
41th percentile
O-Con%70.0%
15th percentile
SwStr%24.3%
18th percentile
PutAwy%12.6%
13th percentile
Approach
Zone%44.0%
11th percentile
Z-Swg%68.7%
62th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%47.1%
50th percentile
CS%19.0%
32th percentile
F-Str%49.8%
47th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI+4.3/+0.1SL+6.2/-5.5CH+6.7/-0.5FF-1.5/-3.2ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.84 ft (±0.10)
Side: -2.39 ft (±0.56)
Extension: 6.45 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
72
59.7
19.4
19.4
0.0
87.3
4.9
44.4
CH
35
48.6
34.3
17.1
0.0
77.2
2.7
20.0
SL
26
34.6
38.5
19.2
0.0
81.9
17.4
30.8
FF
18
22.2
50.0
22.2
0.0
89.2
32.3
72.2
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
35th pct
Effective mix
3.8
70th pct
Separation
11.8
1st pct
Shape scatter
3.9 in
97th pct
Velo range
9.4 mph
19th pct
SI · SL · CH · FF
2023 season, 771 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.11
31th percentile
Where he throws
−0.16
21th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.06
68th percentile
Heart22.8%
+132.31/100
Shadow43.5%
+150.11/100
Chase25.4%
−277.79/100
Waste8.3%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
chase · SI8.6%−0.35
shadow · SI18.8%+0.30
shadow · CH10.0%+0.24
shadow · SL8.9%+0.17
chase · FB3.0%−0.15
11 other locations−0.31
Total−0.11
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.