← BackJosé Ureña
LAA · RHP · 2025
53.0 IP · 244 BF · 934 pitches · 2025 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
97
Stuff+
23th percentile
97
ABStuff+
14th percentile
103
Pitching+
45th percentile
13.9%
K%
5th percentile
9.0%
BB%
46th percentile
5.63
FIP
28th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 53.0 IP · 244 BF · 934 pitches · 2025 season
Stuff
Stuff+97
23th percentile
ABStuff+97
14th percentile
Whiff%17.1%
15th percentile
CSW%28.3%
5th percentile
Results
Pitching+103
45th percentile
RV/100-0.64
37th percentile
FIP5.63
28th percentile
RA/97.13
13th percentile
GB%37.3%
33th percentile
Command
K%13.9%
5th percentile
BB%9.0%
46th percentile
K-BB%4.9%
16th percentile
Velo91.8
79th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 53.0 IP · 244 BF · 934 pitches · 2025 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%11.5%
22th percentile
O-Whf%32.5%
19th percentile
Chase%25.7%
33th percentile
Z-Con%88.5%
22th percentile
O-Con%67.5%
19th percentile
SwStr%22.2%
5th percentile
PutAwy%12.6%
15th percentile
Approach
Zone%50.0%
46th percentile
Z-Swg%70.7%
79th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%48.2%
58th percentile
CS%17.8%
23th percentile
F-Str%44.7%
18th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI+4.3/+0.1SL+6.2/-5.5CH+6.7/-0.5FF-1.5/-3.2FS+8.3/+2.0ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.67 ft (±0.12)
Side: -2.65 ft (±0.35)
Extension: 6.22 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
84
39.3
21.4
34.5
0.0
88.1
14.3
51.2
CH
43
37.2
23.3
27.9
0.0
80.0
12.0
25.6
SL
39
30.8
25.6
33.3
0.0
80.0
14.1
23.1
FF
16
37.5
56.2
0.0
0.0
87.9
27.7
62.5
FS
3
66.7
0.0
33.3
0.0
79.2
-6.5
33.3
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
60th pct
Effective mix
4.1
70th pct
Separation
11.0
0th pct
Shape scatter
3.2 in
62nd pct
Velo range
11.3 mph
40th pct
SI · SL · CH · FF · FS
2025 season, 934 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.04
64th percentile
Where he throws
−0.07
37th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.11
90th percentile
Heart29.2%
+148.26/100
Shadow40.7%
+125.76/100
Chase21.8%
−278.14/100
Waste8.2%
−488.14/100
What makes up the total
chase · SI6.1%−0.25
heart · SI12.0%+0.25
shadow · CH12.0%+0.25
shadow · SI16.3%+0.20
waste · SI1.9%−0.15
11 other locations−0.25
Total+0.04
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2025 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.