← BackPatrick Corbin
TOR · LHP · 2026
74.0 IP · 361 BF · 1,396 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
91
Stuff+
6th percentile
96
ABStuff+
12th percentile
100
Pitching+
23th percentile
17.5%
K%
28th percentile
6.6%
BB%
78th percentile
5.08
FIP
44th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 74.0 IP · 361 BF · 1,396 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+91
6th percentile
ABStuff+96
12th percentile
Whiff%18.6%
25th percentile
CSW%30.5%
20th percentile
Results
Pitching+100
23th percentile
RV/100-0.83
31th percentile
FIP5.08
44th percentile
RA/93.04
77th percentile
GB%39.6%
42th percentile
Command
K%17.5%
28th percentile
BB%6.6%
78th percentile
K-BB%10.8%
45th percentile
Velo84.6
5th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 74.0 IP · 361 BF · 1,396 pitches · 2026 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%10.8%
25th percentile
O-Whf%31.7%
21th percentile
Chase%30.8%
61th percentile
Z-Con%89.2%
25th percentile
O-Con%68.3%
21th percentile
SwStr%23.4%
15th percentile
PutAwy%13.8%
23th percentile
Approach
Zone%42.8%
11th percentile
Z-Swg%69.6%
74th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%47.4%
52th percentile
CS%19.0%
36th percentile
F-Str%50.6%
55th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SL-2.6/-1.0SI+2.4/+0.5CH+3.2/+3.5CT-1.9/+0.2FF-0.7/+0.8CB+6.8/-6.6ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.26 ft (±0.11)
Side: 2.59 ft (±0.15)
Extension: 6.65 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
91
49.5
19.8
29.7
0.0
85.5
13.6
53.8
SL
52
40.4
25.0
21.2
0.0
76.4
12.9
25.0
CT
51
25.5
35.3
35.3
0.0
86.2
16.4
56.9
CH
41
41.5
17.1
26.8
0.0
77.1
8.5
29.3
FF
30
30.0
23.3
40.0
0.0
80.5
25.0
30.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
54th pct
Effective mix
4.7
83rd pct
Separation
15.9
11th pct
Shape scatter
3.0 in
45th pct
Velo range
13.0 mph
63rd pct
SL · SI · CH · CT · FF
2026 season, 1,375 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Run value by pitch2026 · measured
Pitch
Pitches
PA reach
RV/100
Lg avg
CH
245
163
+0.40
-0.07
CT
214
172
-3.54
-0.07
FF
155
119
-1.79
-0.01
SI
378
236
-1.45
+0.27
SL
383
219
+0.77
+0.04
RV/100 is pitcher-positive (runs saved per 100 pitches). These are results: on a sample this size most of the gap between pitchers is the bounce of the ball, so the column never colours and never ranks a grade. The expected-value half of this card (xRV/100, locations, xwOBA) needs the run-value model and does not ship yet.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.12
30th percentile
Where he throws
−0.28
7th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.16
92th percentile
Heart26.7%
+174.27/100
Shadow39.0%
+115.87/100
Chase24.1%
−286.13/100
Waste10.2%
−497.23/100
What makes up the total
chase · SI5.4%−0.25
heart · SI8.6%+0.21
waste · SL4.6%−0.19
shadow · SI12.5%+0.16
waste · CH3.4%−0.15
19 other locations+0.10
Total−0.12
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2026 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.