← BackNoah Syndergaard
LAD · RHP · 2023
83.7 IP · 391 BF · 1,399 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
91
Stuff+
10th percentile
95
ABStuff+
11th percentile
102
Pitching+
56th percentile
14.3%
K%
11th percentile
4.9%
BB%
89th percentile
6.64
FIP
17th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 83.7 IP · 391 BF · 1,399 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+91
10th percentile
ABStuff+95
11th percentile
Whiff%16.6%
11th percentile
CSW%32.2%
31th percentile
Results
Pitching+102
56th percentile
RV/100-1.44
18th percentile
FIP6.64
17th percentile
RA/95.16
42th percentile
GB%38.2%
31th percentile
Command
K%14.3%
11th percentile
BB%4.9%
89th percentile
K-BB%9.5%
32th percentile
Velo88.3
38th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 83.7 IP · 391 BF · 1,399 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%13.1%
32th percentile
O-Whf%27.7%
5th percentile
Chase%26.2%
33th percentile
Z-Con%86.9%
32th percentile
O-Con%72.3%
10th percentile
SwStr%24.9%
23th percentile
PutAwy%13.7%
19th percentile
Approach
Zone%54.8%
93th percentile
Z-Swg%68.4%
59th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%49.3%
73th percentile
CS%21.6%
65th percentile
F-Str%51.0%
55th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI+2.4/+0.5CH+2.8/-1.2FF+0.2/+1.5CB+9.4/+0.8CT+1.4/-0.8SL+1.3/+0.2ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.32 ft (±0.09)
Side: -0.99 ft (±0.15)
Extension: 6.60 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
CH
84
44.0
23.8
28.6
0.0
83.5
8.7
34.5
SI
83
42.2
20.5
31.3
0.0
84.6
19.2
45.8
CT
40
27.5
30.0
40.0
0.0
85.4
23.0
45.0
FF
40
32.5
25.0
27.5
0.0
81.8
33.4
47.5
CB
34
38.2
44.1
11.8
0.0
77.6
20.1
26.5
SL
24
29.2
45.8
20.8
0.0
86.7
18.4
66.7
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
6
94th pct
Effective mix
5.5
98th pct
Separation
17.1
22nd pct
Shape scatter
3.0 in
37th pct
Velo range
14.3 mph
77th pct
SI · CH · FF · CB · CT · SL
2023 season, 1,399 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.34
97th percentile
Where he throws
+0.29
95th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.05
66th percentile
Heart34.6%
+132.31/100
Shadow41.0%
+150.11/100
Chase19.4%
−277.79/100
Waste5.0%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
shadow · CH9.8%+0.23
heart · SI11.5%+0.22
shadow · SI10.7%+0.17
chase · FB3.1%−0.16
chase · SI3.6%−0.14
19 other locations+0.02
Total+0.34
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.