← BackAdrian Houser
NYM · RHP · 2024
61.7 IP · 302 BF · 1,101 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
99
Stuff+
40th percentile
100
ABStuff+
44th percentile
101
Pitching+
48th percentile
14.2%
K%
5th percentile
10.6%
BB%
25th percentile
5.62
FIP
25th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 61.7 IP · 302 BF · 1,101 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+99
40th percentile
ABStuff+100
44th percentile
Whiff%16.6%
14th percentile
CSW%32.6%
35th percentile
Results
Pitching+101
48th percentile
RV/100-1.40
19th percentile
FIP5.62
25th percentile
RA/92.92
77th percentile
GB%48.0%
76th percentile
Command
K%14.2%
5th percentile
BB%10.6%
25th percentile
K-BB%3.6%
5th percentile
Velo88.9
44th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 61.7 IP · 302 BF · 1,101 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%10.5%
17th percentile
O-Whf%35.3%
27th percentile
Chase%22.2%
5th percentile
Z-Con%89.5%
17th percentile
O-Con%64.7%
27th percentile
SwStr%25.7%
31th percentile
PutAwy%13.7%
20th percentile
Approach
Zone%51.2%
69th percentile
Z-Swg%65.6%
31th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%44.4%
19th percentile
CS%23.3%
84th percentile
F-Str%45.0%
18th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI-1.2/-1.1SL+2.6/-2.0FF-1.1/-0.7CH-0.6/+1.1CB-0.2/-1.6ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.87 ft (±0.18)
Side: -1.38 ft (±0.13)
Extension: 6.77 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
107
53.3
20.6
17.8
0.0
85.8
15.1
43.0
SL
38
34.2
36.8
26.3
0.0
84.5
20.5
42.1
CH
29
37.9
24.1
34.5
0.0
84.2
7.5
24.1
FF
27
37.0
40.7
18.5
0.0
82.9
30.1
48.1
CB
20
75.0
15.0
10.0
0.0
87.2
-4.5
40.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
67th pct
Effective mix
4.2
78th pct
Separation
22.2
75th pct
Shape scatter
2.9 in
35th pct
Velo range
13.9 mph
72nd pct
SI · SL · FF · CH · CB
2024 season, 1,101 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.09
70th percentile
Where he throws
+0.17
86th percentile
Which pitch there
−0.08
17th percentile
Heart28.3%
+131.67/100
Shadow45.1%
+152.37/100
Chase20.1%
−280.53/100
Waste6.5%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
chase · SI7.8%−0.33
shadow · SI20.4%+0.29
heart · SI14.0%+0.22
waste · SI2.3%−0.18
shadow · SL7.6%+0.14
15 other locations−0.05
Total+0.09
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.