← BackKyle Freeland
COL · LHP · 2023
140.7 IP · 680 BF · 2,402 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
96
Stuff+
28th percentile
97
ABStuff+
22th percentile
100
Pitching+
42th percentile
13.7%
K%
5th percentile
6.2%
BB%
79th percentile
6.14
FIP
23th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 140.7 IP · 680 BF · 2,402 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+96
28th percentile
ABStuff+97
22th percentile
Whiff%15.6%
5th percentile
CSW%29.8%
13th percentile
Results
Pitching+100
42th percentile
RV/100-1.22
21th percentile
FIP6.14
23th percentile
RA/93.77
69th percentile
GB%41.1%
44th percentile
Command
K%13.7%
5th percentile
BB%6.2%
79th percentile
K-BB%7.5%
23th percentile
Velo85.7
5th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 140.7 IP · 680 BF · 2,402 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%9.0%
5th percentile
O-Whf%32.7%
21th percentile
Chase%29.0%
56th percentile
Z-Con%91.0%
9th percentile
O-Con%67.3%
21th percentile
SwStr%22.6%
5th percentile
PutAwy%13.7%
19th percentile
Approach
Zone%51.4%
76th percentile
Z-Swg%71.7%
84th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%51.0%
85th percentile
CS%19.4%
37th percentile
F-Str%50.4%
51th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI+1.6/+1.9CT+0.7/+0.4FF+0.6/+3.5CB+3.7/-10.1CH+3.2/+2.7ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.71 ft (±0.20)
Side: 1.46 ft (±0.22)
Extension: 6.68 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
170
48.2
24.7
23.5
0.0
86.7
12.5
52.4
CT
111
31.5
36.0
20.7
0.0
81.6
23.9
39.6
FF
100
35.0
37.0
21.0
0.0
82.8
22.9
35.0
CB
87
51.7
25.3
23.0
0.0
83.6
6.2
36.8
CH
70
34.3
25.7
38.6
0.0
84.2
15.0
48.6
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
70th pct
Effective mix
4.8
95th pct
Separation
14.1
4th pct
Shape scatter
3.0 in
42nd pct
Velo range
8.3 mph
9th pct
SI · CT · FF · CB · CH
2023 season, 2,402 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.17
86th percentile
Where he throws
+0.15
84th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.02
58th percentile
Heart31.3%
+132.31/100
Shadow41.8%
+150.11/100
Chase20.3%
−277.79/100
Waste6.7%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
chase · SI4.9%−0.20
heart · SI10.0%+0.19
shadow · SI11.8%+0.18
shadow · CT10.2%+0.16
shadow · CH6.6%+0.16
15 other locations−0.33
Total+0.17
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.