← BackTomoyuki Sugano
BAL · RHP · 2025
148.3 IP · 676 BF · 2,565 pitches · 2025 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
96
Stuff+
21th percentile
97
ABStuff+
13th percentile
106
Pitching+
74th percentile
15.7%
K%
17th percentile
5.0%
BB%
89th percentile
5.86
FIP
24th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 148.3 IP · 676 BF · 2,565 pitches · 2025 season
Stuff
Stuff+96
21th percentile
ABStuff+97
13th percentile
Whiff%16.8%
14th percentile
CSW%31.2%
23th percentile
Results
Pitching+106
74th percentile
RV/100-0.52
39th percentile
FIP5.86
24th percentile
RA/94.31
54th percentile
GB%40.8%
48th percentile
Command
K%15.7%
17th percentile
BB%5.0%
89th percentile
K-BB%10.7%
39th percentile
Velo87.7
24th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 148.3 IP · 676 BF · 2,565 pitches · 2025 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%8.9%
5th percentile
O-Whf%33.8%
21th percentile
Chase%29.1%
64th percentile
Z-Con%91.1%
9th percentile
O-Con%66.2%
21th percentile
SwStr%24.1%
18th percentile
PutAwy%13.1%
17th percentile
Approach
Zone%48.3%
30th percentile
Z-Swg%66.1%
44th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%47.0%
47th percentile
CS%21.0%
63th percentile
F-Str%44.6%
18th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FS+2.8/+0.8SW+1.6/-4.7FF-1.0/+2.4SI+2.1/+1.9CT-2.3/-0.9CB-0.1/-3.4ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.99 ft (±0.10)
Side: -2.39 ft (±0.14)
Extension: 6.23 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FS
120
57.5
16.7
23.3
0.0
80.3
2.7
27.5
SW
120
35.0
29.2
25.8
0.0
81.6
22.9
36.7
SI
91
39.6
30.8
23.1
0.0
86.4
16.8
47.3
FF
81
30.9
34.6
24.7
0.0
83.8
32.4
49.4
CT
71
31.0
38.0
23.9
0.0
84.7
17.5
39.4
CB
42
47.6
28.6
23.8
0.0
85.1
-1.1
50.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
6
88th pct
Effective mix
5.8
99th pct
Separation
20.2
54th pct
Shape scatter
3.5 in
84th pct
Velo range
14.7 mph
82nd pct
FS · SW · FF · SI · CT · CB
2025 season, 2,565 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.01
50th percentile
Where he throws
−0.10
30th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.09
84th percentile
Heart26.9%
+148.26/100
Shadow42.0%
+125.76/100
Chase23.5%
−278.14/100
Waste7.6%
−488.14/100
What makes up the total
shadow · CH9.3%+0.20
chase · FB3.4%−0.17
heart · FB6.8%+0.14
waste · CH2.8%−0.13
chase · SI3.0%−0.13
19 other locations+0.08
Total−0.01
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2025 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.