← BackTomoyuki Sugano
COL · RHP · 2026
145.7 IP · 654 BF · 2,512 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
93
Stuff+
8th percentile
96
ABStuff+
11th percentile
103
Pitching+
45th percentile
14.7%
K%
15th percentile
5.0%
BB%
95th percentile
6.01
FIP
25th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 145.7 IP · 654 BF · 2,512 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+93
8th percentile
ABStuff+96
11th percentile
Whiff%17.7%
20th percentile
CSW%29.9%
16th percentile
Results
Pitching+103
45th percentile
RV/100-0.85
31th percentile
FIP6.01
25th percentile
RA/95.07
35th percentile
GB%37.9%
34th percentile
Command
K%14.7%
15th percentile
BB%5.0%
95th percentile
K-BB%9.6%
38th percentile
Velo88.3
30th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 145.7 IP · 654 BF · 2,512 pitches · 2026 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%8.9%
14th percentile
O-Whf%37.1%
40th percentile
Chase%27.9%
35th percentile
Z-Con%91.1%
14th percentile
O-Con%62.9%
40th percentile
SwStr%22.9%
11th percentile
PutAwy%13.0%
19th percentile
Approach
Zone%46.9%
46th percentile
Z-Swg%69.5%
73th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%47.4%
52th percentile
CS%18.9%
35th percentile
F-Str%48.1%
37th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FS+2.8/+0.8FF-1.0/+2.4SI+2.1/+1.9SW+1.6/-4.7CT-2.3/-0.9SL-1.8/-0.5CB-0.1/-3.4ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.93 ft (±0.10)
Side: -2.60 ft (±0.15)
Extension: 6.23 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
119
35.3
24.4
36.1
0.0
87.2
18.8
52.1
FF
108
34.3
38.0
25.9
0.0
88.2
27.3
60.2
FS
102
53.9
18.6
21.6
0.0
78.9
7.7
25.5
CT
67
37.3
34.3
23.9
0.0
85.4
22.4
47.8
SW
44
13.6
52.3
27.3
0.0
85.5
28.9
34.1
SL
43
44.2
32.6
16.3
0.0
83.4
20.6
32.6
CB
37
35.1
37.8
21.6
0.0
82.3
9.0
29.7
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
7
97th pct
Effective mix
6.5
100th pct
Separation
16.2
12th pct
Shape scatter
3.4 in
84th pct
Velo range
12.7 mph
59th pct
FS · FF · SI · SW · CT · SL · CB
2026 season, 2,512 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Run value by pitch2026 · measured
Pitch
Pitches
PA reach
RV/100
Lg avg
CB
205
170
-0.76
-0.34
CT
270
201
-1.94
-0.07
FF
515
317
-1.29
-0.01
FS
529
333
+0.04
+0.13
SI
475
310
+0.34
+0.27
SL
238
180
-3.18
+0.04
SW
280
216
-0.79
-0.01
RV/100 is pitcher-positive (runs saved per 100 pitches). These are results: on a sample this size most of the gap between pitchers is the bounce of the ball, so the column never colours and never ranks a grade. The expected-value half of this card (xRV/100, locations, xwOBA) needs the run-value model and does not ship yet.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.02
58th percentile
Where he throws
−0.10
30th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.12
87th percentile
Heart28.6%
+174.27/100
Shadow40.3%
+115.87/100
Chase22.7%
−286.13/100
Waste8.4%
−497.23/100
What makes up the total
heart · SI7.5%+0.18
chase · FB3.3%−0.18
heart · FB8.0%+0.17
shadow · CH8.3%+0.17
chase · SI3.0%−0.14
19 other locations−0.18
Total+0.02
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2026 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.