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MIA · RHP · 2025
108.7 IP · 517 BF · 2,001 pitches · 2025 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
92
Stuff+
9th percentile
96
ABStuff+
10th percentile
99
Pitching+
19th percentile
16.4%
K%
20th percentile
6.6%
BB%
74th percentile
5.71
FIP
26th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 108.7 IP · 517 BF · 2,001 pitches · 2025 season
Stuff
Stuff+92
9th percentile
ABStuff+96
10th percentile
Whiff%18.5%
22th percentile
CSW%31.4%
24th percentile
Results
Pitching+99
19th percentile
RV/100-0.91
30th percentile
FIP5.71
26th percentile
RA/93.23
76th percentile
GB%34.4%
23th percentile
Command
K%16.4%
20th percentile
BB%6.6%
74th percentile
K-BB%9.9%
35th percentile
Velo88.8
40th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 108.7 IP · 517 BF · 2,001 pitches · 2025 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%10.7%
17th percentile
O-Whf%35.2%
25th percentile
Chase%28.7%
60th percentile
Z-Con%89.3%
17th percentile
O-Con%64.8%
25th percentile
SwStr%24.6%
22th percentile
PutAwy%13.0%
17th percentile
Approach
Zone%48.2%
29th percentile
Z-Swg%66.0%
43th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%46.7%
44th percentile
CS%20.4%
56th percentile
F-Str%49.6%
47th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI+2.7/-0.1CT-1.4/+0.6FS-1.2/+1.9FF+0.2/-1.4CB+0.5/-5.8SL-1.7/-1.7CHring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.33 ft (±0.18)
Side: -1.27 ft (±0.30)
Extension: 6.33 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
CT
91
29.7
39.6
24.2
0.0
85.6
20.3
51.6
FS
91
44.0
23.1
26.4
0.0
85.5
10.5
41.8
SI
78
30.8
29.5
37.2
0.0
82.6
23.9
34.6
FF
44
31.8
27.3
25.0
0.0
83.6
34.1
36.4
CB
43
41.9
37.2
16.3
0.0
82.0
14.9
41.9
SL
39
23.1
28.2
41.0
0.0
89.3
11.6
61.5
CH
1
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
94.1
35.0
100.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
6
88th pct
Effective mix
5.7
98th pct
Separation
17.3
22nd pct
Shape scatter
3.5 in
88th pct
Velo range
13.6 mph
71st pct
SI · CT · FS · FF · CB · SL
2025 season, 1,995 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.05
40th percentile
Where he throws
−0.07
36th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.02
60th percentile
Heart31.4%
+148.26/100
Shadow38.8%
+125.76/100
Chase20.4%
−278.14/100
Waste9.3%
−488.14/100
What makes up the total
heart · SI8.0%+0.17
shadow · CH7.9%+0.17
chase · FB3.0%−0.15
chase · SI3.5%−0.15
heart · CT9.6%+0.14
19 other locations−0.24
Total−0.05
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2025 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.