← BackJosé Alvarado
PHI · LHP · 2026
55.7 IP · 270 BF · 1,127 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
117
Stuff+
97th percentile
105
ABStuff+
89th percentile
90
Pitching+
2th percentile
25.9%
K%
78th percentile
10.0%
BB%
41th percentile
3.81
FIP
80th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 55.7 IP · 270 BF · 1,127 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+117
97th percentile
ABStuff+105
89th percentile
Whiff%24.4%
65th percentile
CSW%30.6%
21th percentile
Results
Pitching+90
2th percentile
FIP3.81
80th percentile
RA/97.76
8th percentile
GB%35.6%
25th percentile
Command
K%25.9%
78th percentile
BB%10.0%
41th percentile
K-BB%15.9%
72th percentile
Velo95.4
98th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
CT-2.7/-0.8FF-1.7/-2.1CB+7.6/-7.3SI+1.2/-1.0ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.48 ft (±0.11)
Side: 1.39 ft (±0.23)
Extension: 6.96 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
116
36.2
23.3
30.2
0.0
81.2
21.5
35.3
CT
43
37.2
27.9
23.3
0.0
80.7
7.8
20.9
FF
2
0.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
80.6
47.2
0.0
CB
2
0.0
0.0
100.0
0.0
87.5
17.9
50.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.