← BackDakota Hudson
STL · RHP · 2023
70.7 IP · 354 BF · 1,316 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
98
Stuff+
38th percentile
98
ABStuff+
31th percentile
91
Pitching+
6th percentile
12.7%
K%
5th percentile
9.6%
BB%
39th percentile
5.71
FIP
30th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 70.7 IP · 354 BF · 1,316 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+98
38th percentile
ABStuff+98
31th percentile
Whiff%18.2%
18th percentile
CSW%30.4%
17th percentile
Results
Pitching+91
6th percentile
RV/100-0.31
43th percentile
FIP5.71
30th percentile
RA/96.62
19th percentile
GB%51.7%
81th percentile
Command
K%12.7%
5th percentile
BB%9.6%
39th percentile
K-BB%3.1%
10th percentile
Velo88.6
42th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 70.7 IP · 354 BF · 1,316 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%9.9%
12th percentile
O-Whf%41.2%
52th percentile
Chase%24.7%
23th percentile
Z-Con%90.1%
12th percentile
O-Con%58.8%
52th percentile
SwStr%22.9%
5th percentile
PutAwy%13.8%
20th percentile
Approach
Zone%49.2%
54th percentile
Z-Swg%70.3%
76th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%47.1%
50th percentile
CS%19.0%
32th percentile
F-Str%44.5%
19th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI-3.9/+1.9SL-0.5/-3.8FF-7.8/+2.3CB+3.9/+2.2CH-2.5/+1.5CTring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.28 ft (±0.12)
Side: -2.17 ft (±0.24)
Extension: 6.45 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
130
60.0
19.2
19.2
0.0
87.6
6.5
51.5
SL
63
34.9
33.3
28.6
0.0
83.0
11.0
44.4
FF
61
52.5
13.1
31.1
0.0
84.3
15.3
36.1
CB
10
30.0
20.0
40.0
0.0
79.2
5.2
40.0
CH
5
80.0
20.0
0.0
0.0
85.8
-7.2
20.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
35th pct
Effective mix
3.4
53rd pct
Separation
15.6
11th pct
Shape scatter
2.8 in
22nd pct
Velo range
10.2 mph
27th pct
SI · SL · FF · CB
2023 season, 1,278 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.00
52th percentile
Where he throws
−0.08
35th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.08
75th percentile
Heart29.8%
+132.31/100
Shadow39.2%
+150.11/100
Chase21.6%
−277.79/100
Waste9.4%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
chase · SI7.4%−0.30
heart · SI13.0%+0.25
shadow · SI15.6%+0.24
shadow · SL11.1%+0.21
waste · SL5.1%−0.21
19 other locations−0.20
Total−0.00
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.