← BackDakota Hudson
COL · RHP · 2024
76.0 IP · 383 BF · 1,418 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
93
Stuff+
15th percentile
98
ABStuff+
27th percentile
87
Pitching+
2th percentile
12.5%
K%
5th percentile
11.7%
BB%
19th percentile
6.00
FIP
20th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 76.0 IP · 383 BF · 1,418 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+93
15th percentile
ABStuff+98
27th percentile
Whiff%16.3%
12th percentile
CSW%31.6%
24th percentile
Results
Pitching+87
2th percentile
RV/100-0.94
25th percentile
FIP6.00
20th percentile
RA/93.67
63th percentile
GB%52.3%
85th percentile
Command
K%12.5%
5th percentile
BB%11.7%
19th percentile
K-BB%0.8%
5th percentile
Velo86.3
15th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 76.0 IP · 383 BF · 1,418 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%9.3%
5th percentile
O-Whf%35.8%
29th percentile
Chase%22.1%
5th percentile
Z-Con%90.7%
10th percentile
O-Con%64.2%
29th percentile
SwStr%24.6%
20th percentile
PutAwy%12.4%
14th percentile
Approach
Zone%49.2%
47th percentile
Z-Swg%63.5%
19th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%42.5%
5th percentile
CS%22.7%
79th percentile
F-Str%48.4%
34th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI-3.9/+1.9SL-0.5/-3.8CB+3.9/+2.2FF-7.8/+2.3CH-2.5/+1.5CTring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.12 ft (±0.12)
Side: -2.28 ft (±0.26)
Extension: 6.23 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
121
57.9
17.4
22.3
0.0
87.3
6.0
51.2
SL
62
54.8
14.5
25.8
0.0
79.9
6.1
32.3
FF
46
45.7
32.6
19.6
0.0
85.1
23.9
37.0
CB
29
41.4
37.9
17.2
0.0
80.4
9.7
27.6
CH
24
45.8
37.5
16.7
0.0
88.4
8.1
50.0
CT
1
0.0
100.0
0.0
0.0
83.0
24.5
100.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
67th pct
Effective mix
4.6
88th pct
Separation
15.9
12th pct
Shape scatter
3.9 in
97th pct
Velo range
10.2 mph
27th pct
SI · SL · CB · FF · CH
2024 season, 1,411 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.00
52th percentile
Where he throws
−0.09
32th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.09
84th percentile
Heart28.3%
+131.67/100
Shadow41.3%
+152.37/100
Chase19.5%
−280.53/100
Waste11.0%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
shadow · SI15.0%+0.21
chase · SI4.4%−0.19
heart · SI11.7%+0.18
shadow · SL9.6%+0.18
waste · SL3.3%−0.13
17 other locations−0.25
Total+0.00
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.