← BackGregory Soto
PHI · LHP · 2024
50.0 IP · 240 BF · 948 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
118
Stuff+
99th percentile
110
ABStuff+
99th percentile
106
Pitching+
83th percentile
27.1%
K%
81th percentile
9.6%
BB%
35th percentile
3.59
FIP
82th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 50.0 IP · 240 BF · 948 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+118
99th percentile
ABStuff+110
99th percentile
Whiff%28.6%
85th percentile
CSW%35.6%
70th percentile
Results
Pitching+106
83th percentile
RV/100-0.13
50th percentile
FIP3.59
82th percentile
RA/94.32
50th percentile
GB%52.1%
84th percentile
Command
K%27.1%
81th percentile
BB%9.6%
35th percentile
K-BB%17.5%
73th percentile
Velo92.6
89th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 50.0 IP · 240 BF · 948 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%15.9%
61th percentile
O-Whf%54.8%
90th percentile
Chase%30.0%
68th percentile
Z-Con%84.1%
61th percentile
O-Con%45.2%
95th percentile
SwStr%29.4%
77th percentile
PutAwy%22.0%
84th percentile
Approach
Zone%48.7%
42th percentile
Z-Swg%65.2%
28th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%47.2%
44th percentile
CS%19.3%
39th percentile
F-Str%52.9%
67th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI-0.7/-2.0SL+1.0/+0.7FF-1.9/-3.2SW+0.3/-1.6CTring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.73 ft (±0.13)
Side: 1.93 ft (±0.18)
Extension: 6.57 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
80
65.0
15.0
17.5
0.0
84.6
8.6
48.8
SL
41
34.1
29.3
26.8
0.0
83.4
12.6
36.6
FF
11
54.5
18.2
27.3
0.0
81.0
24.1
45.5
SW
10
20.0
20.0
50.0
0.0
75.4
28.6
30.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
30th pct
Effective mix
3.2
40th pct
Separation
20.7
58th pct
Shape scatter
3.0 in
41st pct
Velo range
14.1 mph
75th pct
SI · SL · FF · SW
2024 season, 941 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.04
42th percentile
Where he throws
−0.09
32th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.05
70th percentile
Heart31.1%
+131.67/100
Shadow37.5%
+152.37/100
Chase22.8%
−280.53/100
Waste8.6%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
chase · SI7.6%−0.33
heart · SI19.1%+0.30
shadow · SL15.2%+0.28
shadow · SI18.4%+0.26
waste · SL5.8%−0.23
11 other locations−0.32
Total−0.04
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.