← BackGregory Soto
BAL · LHP · 2025
58.0 IP · 278 BF · 1,027 pitches · 2025 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
118
Stuff+
99th percentile
110
ABStuff+
98th percentile
106
Pitching+
73th percentile
25.2%
K%
75th percentile
8.3%
BB%
54th percentile
3.38
FIP
87th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 58.0 IP · 278 BF · 1,027 pitches · 2025 season
Stuff
Stuff+118
99th percentile
ABStuff+110
98th percentile
Whiff%27.4%
78th percentile
CSW%39.2%
93th percentile
Results
Pitching+106
73th percentile
RV/100-0.23
46th percentile
FIP3.38
87th percentile
RA/95.12
35th percentile
GB%44.8%
64th percentile
Command
K%25.2%
75th percentile
BB%8.3%
54th percentile
K-BB%16.9%
74th percentile
Velo92.4
86th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 58.0 IP · 278 BF · 1,027 pitches · 2025 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%17.0%
69th percentile
O-Whf%48.1%
72th percentile
Chase%31.5%
82th percentile
Z-Con%83.0%
69th percentile
O-Con%51.9%
72th percentile
SwStr%30.6%
89th percentile
PutAwy%21.2%
81th percentile
Approach
Zone%50.1%
46th percentile
Z-Swg%62.5%
19th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%47.0%
47th percentile
CS%22.7%
80th percentile
F-Str%52.3%
68th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI-0.7/-2.0SL+1.0/+0.7SW+0.3/-1.6FF-1.9/-3.2ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.66 ft (±0.16)
Side: 1.98 ft (±0.29)
Extension: 6.60 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
101
56.4
18.8
22.8
0.0
83.8
9.7
41.6
SL
49
28.6
32.7
24.5
0.0
83.3
21.2
36.7
FF
18
27.8
27.8
33.3
0.0
81.5
29.8
33.3
SW
6
33.3
33.3
16.7
0.0
75.0
16.6
0.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
27th pct
Effective mix
3.0
30th pct
Separation
20.5
57th pct
Shape scatter
3.0 in
44th pct
Velo range
12.9 mph
62nd pct
SI · SL · SW · FF
2025 season, 1,027 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.07
36th percentile
Where he throws
−0.13
23th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.06
75th percentile
Heart30.5%
+148.26/100
Shadow39.5%
+125.76/100
Chase18.5%
−278.14/100
Waste11.5%
−488.14/100
What makes up the total
heart · SI18.7%+0.40
chase · SI7.6%−0.32
waste · SI3.8%−0.30
waste · SL7.1%−0.28
shadow · SI22.5%+0.27
10 other locations+0.15
Total−0.07
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2025 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.