← BackJeff Hoffman
PHI · RHP · 2023
50.7 IP · 208 BF · 869 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
114
Stuff+
96th percentile
108
ABStuff+
97th percentile
105
Pitching+
79th percentile
33.2%
K%
94th percentile
8.7%
BB%
49th percentile
2.99
FIP
95th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 50.7 IP · 208 BF · 869 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+114
96th percentile
ABStuff+108
97th percentile
Whiff%31.5%
91th percentile
CSW%36.0%
72th percentile
Results
Pitching+105
79th percentile
RV/100+1.46
92th percentile
FIP2.99
95th percentile
RA/94.26
60th percentile
GB%44.9%
59th percentile
Command
K%33.2%
94th percentile
BB%8.7%
49th percentile
K-BB%24.5%
92th percentile
Velo91.5
81th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 50.7 IP · 208 BF · 869 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%18.5%
76th percentile
O-Whf%56.2%
92th percentile
Chase%34.0%
91th percentile
Z-Con%81.5%
76th percentile
O-Con%43.8%
95th percentile
SwStr%29.9%
79th percentile
PutAwy%20.9%
77th percentile
Approach
Zone%48.2%
45th percentile
Z-Swg%69.7%
71th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%51.2%
87th percentile
CS%16.6%
5th percentile
F-Str%55.3%
82th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SL-2.9/-0.9FF+0.5/-5.8FS-0.8/-3.8SI+4.4/-0.9ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.11 ft (±0.13)
Side: -2.59 ft (±0.15)
Extension: 6.58 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SL
44
40.9
34.1
11.4
0.0
79.6
17.0
20.5
FF
37
29.7
29.7
27.0
0.0
82.8
29.8
35.1
FS
26
73.1
11.5
11.5
0.0
81.8
3.3
26.9
SI
11
45.5
18.2
27.3
0.0
84.1
23.9
63.6
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
35th pct
Effective mix
3.3
49th pct
Separation
17.4
25th pct
Shape scatter
3.5 in
84th pct
Velo range
9.4 mph
19th pct
SL · FF · FS · SI
2023 season, 869 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.01
50th percentile
Where he throws
−0.15
23th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.14
89th percentile
Heart31.9%
+132.31/100
Shadow35.9%
+150.11/100
Chase22.2%
−277.79/100
Waste10.0%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
shadow · SL17.0%+0.33
chase · FB5.2%−0.26
waste · SL6.4%−0.26
heart · FB11.7%+0.21
shadow · CH6.7%+0.16
11 other locations−0.18
Total−0.01
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.