Triston McKenzie

CLE · RHP · 2024

69.7 IP · 341 BF · 1,299 pitches · 2024 season

HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast

Stuff+

ABStuff+

Pitching+

21.4%

13.8%

BB%

7.25

FIP

Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.

Percentile rankings

vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 69.7 IP · 341 BF · 1,299 pitches · 2024 season

Stuff

Stuff+

ABStuff+

Whiff%

21.4%

CSW%

32.5%

Results

Pitching+

RV/100

-0.95

FIP

7.25

RA/9

4.52

GB%

35.3%

Command

21.4%

BB%

13.8%

K-BB%

7.6%

Velo

86.3

How to read these

Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.

Percentile rankings

Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 69.7 IP · 341 BF · 1,299 pitches · 2024 season

Swing & miss

Z-Whf%

10.5%

O-Whf%

50.3%

Chase%

22.3%

Z-Con%

89.5%

O-Con%

49.7%

SwStr%

25.9%

PutAwy%

19.9%

Approach

Zone%

47.9%

Z-Swg%

64.5%

Swing%

42.5%

CS%

21.1%

F-Str%

39.6%

How to read these

Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.

ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab

Pitch

Usage

Velo

IVB

Spin

Whiff%

CSW%

Zone%

Chase%

Stuff+

ABStuff+

52.5%

91.1

19.7

-1.6

2229

9.2%

29.4%

53.2%

18.2%

101

26.6%

77.7

-7.7

8.0

2211

35.2%

36.9%

44.6%

28.3%

20.9%

85.4

8.6

5.1

2167

34.7%

38.6%

23.4%

Movement Profile

FF+3.6/+2.1CB+2.6/0.0SLring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive

Release Traits

Height: 6.47 ft (±0.11)

Side: -1.77 ft (±0.19)

Extension: 6.74 ft

Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.

Batted Ball Against

Pitch

N_BIP

GB%

FB%

LD%

PU%

Avg EV

Avg LA

HrdHit%

134

32.8

37.3

20.9

0.0

85.8

29.1

48.5

28.0

40.0

22.0

0.0

82.9

19.3

36.0

58.1

16.1

12.9

0.0

80.3

17.2

22.6

Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.

Arsenal

Pitches

7th pct

Effective mix

2.8

23rd pct

Separation

21.5

68th pct

Shape scatter

3.1 in

58th pct

Velo range

13.4 mph

69th pct

FF · CB · SL

The shape of it: 3 offerings, with one clear go-to — about-average gaps between them, about-average repeatability, a typical velo range.

2024 season, 1,299 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.

Location value

runs per 100 pitches vs league

2024 · 1,299 located pitches

Total

−0.31

7th percentile

Where he throws

−0.27

8th percentile

Which pitch there

−0.04

32th percentile

Where the value comes from: he lives in the cheaper parts of the zone more than most.

Heart29.8%

+131.67/100

Shadow37.0%

+152.37/100

Chase19.6%

−280.53/100

Waste13.7%

−494.43/100

What makes up the total

chase · FB9.0%−0.45

heart · FB17.8%+0.34

waste · FB4.3%−0.27

shadow · FB21.4%+0.24

waste · SL4.9%−0.19

7 other locations+0.02

Total−0.31

Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.