← BackJake Cousins
MIL · RHP · 2023
8.3 IP · 46 BF · 202 pitches · 2023 season
MED Descriptive — not a forecast
115
Stuff+
97th percentile
109
ABStuff+
98th percentile
95
Pitching+
14th percentile
15.2%
K%
21.7%
BB%
7.36
FIP
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 8.3 IP · 46 BF · 202 pitches · 2023 season
Small sample: 8.3 IP · 46 BF · 202 pitches · 2023 season. Rows need 50 batters faced to rank (model grades 100 pitches); below that they show the sample (n=) instead of a percentile, so nothing here reads as elite or poor on a handful of hitters.
Stuff
Stuff+115
97th percentile
ABStuff+109
98th percentile
Whiff%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
27.0%CSW%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
32.5%Results
Pitching+95
14th percentile
RV/100
n=46 BF — too few to rank
-1.70FIP
n=46 BF — too few to rank
7.36RA/9
n=46 BF — too few to rank
2.16GB%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
64.3%Command
K%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
15.2%BB%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
21.7%K-BB%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
-6.5%Velo
n=46 BF — too few to rank
87.6How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 8.3 IP · 46 BF · 202 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
20.8%O-Whf%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
38.5%Chase%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
21.5%Z-Con%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
79.2%O-Con%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
61.5%SwStr%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
27.2%PutAwy%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
13.2%Approach
Zone%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
40.1%Z-Swg%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
59.3%Swing%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
36.6%CS%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
20.7%F-Str%
n=46 BF — too few to rank
41.3%How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SW-2.0/+0.3SI+2.9/-1.6FFring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.41 ft (±0.09)
Side: -3.41 ft (±0.13)
Extension: 6.96 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
14
78.6
7.1
14.3
0.0
81.2
2.2
35.7
SW
12
58.3
25.0
16.7
0.0
80.5
-0.1
33.3
FF
2
0.0
50.0
50.0
0.0
74.5
39.2
0.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
3
9th pct
Effective mix
2.7
26th pct
Separation
23.5
82nd pct
Shape scatter
3.5 in
87th pct
Velo range
13.0 mph
62nd pct
SW · SI · FF
2023 season, 202 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.48
1th percentile
Where he throws
−0.60
0th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.12
85th percentile
Heart18.3%
+132.31/100
Shadow39.6%
+150.11/100
Chase29.7%
−277.79/100
Waste12.4%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
shadow · SL20.3%+0.39
waste · SL8.4%−0.34
chase · FB6.4%−0.33
chase · SI6.9%−0.28
shadow · SI15.8%+0.25
7 other locations−0.17
Total−0.48
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.