← BackJake Cousins
NYY · RHP · 2024
35.7 IP · 155 BF · 640 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
113
Stuff+
96th percentile
109
ABStuff+
98th percentile
99
Pitching+
34th percentile
34.2%
K%
94th percentile
12.3%
BB%
16th percentile
4.22
FIP
64th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 35.7 IP · 155 BF · 640 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+113
96th percentile
ABStuff+109
98th percentile
Whiff%34.4%
96th percentile
CSW%40.5%
94th percentile
Results
Pitching+99
34th percentile
RV/100+0.84
80th percentile
FIP4.22
64th percentile
RA/92.78
79th percentile
GB%42.9%
55th percentile
Command
K%34.2%
94th percentile
BB%12.3%
16th percentile
K-BB%21.9%
89th percentile
Velo86.5
17th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 35.7 IP · 155 BF · 640 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%14.6%
50th percentile
O-Whf%57.8%
92th percentile
Chase%34.1%
91th percentile
Z-Con%85.4%
50th percentile
O-Con%42.2%
95th percentile
SwStr%34.6%
96th percentile
PutAwy%24.2%
91th percentile
Approach
Zone%41.8%
5th percentile
Z-Swg%56.1%
5th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%43.3%
12th percentile
CS%23.1%
82th percentile
F-Str%57.1%
88th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SW-2.0/+0.3SI+2.9/-1.6ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.67 ft (±0.09)
Side: -3.17 ft (±0.13)
Extension: 7.00 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SW
45
42.2
31.1
17.8
0.0
78.0
11.9
33.3
SI
31
45.2
12.9
29.0
0.0
82.0
22.0
35.5
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
2
0th pct
Effective mix
1.9
2nd pct
Separation
35.2
100th pct
Shape scatter
3.5 in
85th pct
Velo range
13.0 mph
63rd pct
SW · SI
2024 season, 640 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.31
7th percentile
Where he throws
−0.60
1th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.29
100th percentile
Heart24.5%
+131.67/100
Shadow35.7%
+152.37/100
Chase23.1%
−280.53/100
Waste16.6%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
waste · SL14.0%−0.55
shadow · SL23.4%+0.44
chase · SI6.5%−0.28
heart · SI12.6%+0.20
chase · SL16.6%−0.19
5 other locations+0.07
Total−0.31
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.