← BackAlek Manoah
TOR · RHP · 2023
80.3 IP · 410 BF · 1,663 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
98
Stuff+
37th percentile
98
ABStuff+
24th percentile
96
Pitching+
22th percentile
19.0%
K%
34th percentile
12.9%
BB%
17th percentile
6.35
FIP
20th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 80.3 IP · 410 BF · 1,663 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+98
37th percentile
ABStuff+98
24th percentile
Whiff%19.4%
24th percentile
CSW%29.8%
13th percentile
Results
Pitching+96
22th percentile
RV/100-1.26
21th percentile
FIP6.35
20th percentile
RA/94.03
64th percentile
GB%38.6%
32th percentile
Command
K%19.0%
34th percentile
BB%12.9%
17th percentile
K-BB%6.1%
19th percentile
Velo88.3
38th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 80.3 IP · 410 BF · 1,663 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%12.6%
27th percentile
O-Whf%34.3%
26th percentile
Chase%26.4%
35th percentile
Z-Con%87.4%
27th percentile
O-Con%65.7%
26th percentile
SwStr%24.2%
17th percentile
PutAwy%13.1%
16th percentile
Approach
Zone%46.2%
25th percentile
Z-Swg%68.0%
55th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%45.6%
34th percentile
CS%18.9%
30th percentile
F-Str%48.4%
37th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SL-2.2/+6.9FF+1.0/+0.8SI+2.1/+0.3CH+0.6/-1.8ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.79 ft (±0.13)
Side: -2.53 ft (±0.37)
Extension: 6.78 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
92
48.9
18.5
25.0
0.0
83.3
16.9
45.7
FF
76
32.9
34.2
26.3
0.0
85.5
27.9
55.3
SL
58
31.0
37.9
19.0
0.0
78.2
19.5
32.8
CH
38
36.8
28.9
28.9
0.0
80.4
19.4
42.1
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
35th pct
Effective mix
3.8
70th pct
Separation
20.1
50th pct
Shape scatter
3.7 in
91st pct
Velo range
12.1 mph
51st pct
SL · FF · SI · CH
2023 season, 1,663 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.17
22th percentile
Where he throws
−0.21
13th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.04
64th percentile
Heart28.1%
+132.31/100
Shadow38.9%
+150.11/100
Chase21.5%
−277.79/100
Waste11.5%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
chase · FB5.7%−0.29
waste · SL5.8%−0.24
shadow · SL11.1%+0.21
shadow · SI12.6%+0.20
heart · SI10.1%+0.19
11 other locations−0.24
Total−0.17
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.