← BackJosé Soriano
LAA · RHP · 2023
38.0 IP · 179 BF · 666 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
115
Stuff+
97th percentile
109
ABStuff+
98th percentile
105
Pitching+
76th percentile
29.6%
K%
89th percentile
11.7%
BB%
22th percentile
4.12
FIP
75th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 38.0 IP · 179 BF · 666 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+115
97th percentile
ABStuff+109
98th percentile
Whiff%35.4%
95th percentile
CSW%41.3%
94th percentile
Results
Pitching+105
76th percentile
RV/100+0.26
63th percentile
FIP4.12
75th percentile
RA/94.97
46th percentile
GB%50.5%
78th percentile
Command
K%29.6%
89th percentile
BB%11.7%
22th percentile
K-BB%17.9%
76th percentile
Velo92.8
91th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 38.0 IP · 179 BF · 666 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%15.3%
50th percentile
O-Whf%65.2%
99th percentile
Chase%31.0%
75th percentile
Z-Con%84.7%
50th percentile
O-Con%34.8%
95th percentile
SwStr%33.9%
96th percentile
PutAwy%27.0%
94th percentile
Approach
Zone%44.3%
13th percentile
Z-Swg%57.6%
5th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%42.8%
15th percentile
CS%22.9%
79th percentile
F-Str%51.1%
56th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
CB+2.7/+5.5FF-2.2/-1.6FS-2.0/-2.3SI-5.0/-0.2SL+1.3/-2.9ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.95 ft (±0.15)
Side: -1.28 ft (±0.18)
Extension: 6.54 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
33
39.4
33.3
21.2
0.0
84.3
20.6
36.4
CB
30
53.3
20.0
26.7
0.0
84.5
5.2
36.7
SI
19
63.2
10.5
15.8
0.0
91.0
-0.1
52.6
FS
11
54.5
9.1
36.4
0.0
85.6
-8.5
63.6
SL
2
50.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
97.7
-13.2
100.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
70th pct
Effective mix
4.1
80th pct
Separation
19.0
40th pct
Shape scatter
3.4 in
81st pct
Velo range
12.2 mph
52nd pct
CB · FF · FS · SI · SL
2023 season, 666 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.23
15th percentile
Where he throws
−0.26
9th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.03
60th percentile
Heart25.5%
+132.31/100
Shadow41.0%
+150.11/100
Chase20.6%
−277.79/100
Waste12.9%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
shadow · CB17.9%+0.25
waste · CB6.0%−0.19
chase · FB3.3%−0.17
heart · FB8.9%+0.16
chase · SI3.9%−0.16
15 other locations−0.11
Total−0.23
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.