← BackLogan Gilbert
SEA · RHP · 2023
182.3 IP · 769 BF · 2,914 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
116
Stuff+
97th percentile
110
ABStuff+
98th percentile
105
Pitching+
80th percentile
24.4%
K%
66th percentile
4.6%
BB%
95th percentile
4.46
FIP
64th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 182.3 IP · 769 BF · 2,914 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+116
97th percentile
ABStuff+110
98th percentile
Whiff%23.3%
51th percentile
CSW%34.1%
51th percentile
Results
Pitching+105
80th percentile
RV/100+0.68
77th percentile
FIP4.46
64th percentile
RA/94.24
60th percentile
GB%42.1%
48th percentile
Command
K%24.4%
66th percentile
BB%4.6%
95th percentile
K-BB%19.9%
83th percentile
Velo90.0
62th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 182.3 IP · 769 BF · 2,914 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%15.5%
51th percentile
O-Whf%44.8%
65th percentile
Chase%29.9%
65th percentile
Z-Con%84.5%
51th percentile
O-Con%55.2%
65th percentile
SwStr%27.1%
46th percentile
PutAwy%18.3%
57th percentile
Approach
Zone%53.5%
90th percentile
Z-Swg%71.3%
82th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%52.1%
91th percentile
CS%18.8%
29th percentile
F-Str%49.9%
47th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF+1.5/+1.1SL-3.7/-3.1FS-4.9/+7.0CBSI-0.8/-0.1ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.20 ft (±0.14)
Side: -1.11 ft (±0.25)
Extension: 7.37 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
235
32.3
37.0
24.3
0.0
85.0
29.7
55.7
SL
168
57.1
19.6
16.7
0.0
82.2
6.0
38.7
FS
77
42.9
27.3
23.4
0.0
81.2
6.5
31.2
CB
58
39.7
24.1
34.5
0.0
83.0
3.6
36.2
SI
3
0.0
0.0
100.0
0.0
100.2
17.0
33.3
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
35th pct
Effective mix
3.6
61st pct
Separation
20.1
49th pct
Shape scatter
3.1 in
47th pct
Velo range
15.4 mph
83rd pct
FF · SL · FS · CB
2023 season, 2,905 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.13
80th percentile
Where he throws
+0.13
80th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.00
52th percentile
Heart35.8%
+132.31/100
Shadow38.1%
+150.11/100
Chase17.2%
−277.79/100
Waste8.8%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
heart · FB18.2%+0.33
chase · FB5.6%−0.28
shadow · SL10.8%+0.21
shadow · CH5.9%+0.14
waste · FB2.1%−0.13
14 other locations−0.12
Total+0.13
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.