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SEA · RHP · 2025
126.3 IP · 521 BF · 2,101 pitches · 2025 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
117
Stuff+
98th percentile
111
ABStuff+
99th percentile
106
Pitching+
75th percentile
32.6%
K%
94th percentile
5.8%
BB%
82th percentile
3.79
FIP
77th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 126.3 IP · 521 BF · 2,101 pitches · 2025 season
Stuff
Stuff+117
98th percentile
ABStuff+111
99th percentile
Whiff%30.5%
91th percentile
CSW%37.6%
88th percentile
Results
Pitching+106
75th percentile
RV/100+0.45
69th percentile
FIP3.79
77th percentile
RA/93.70
66th percentile
GB%40.1%
45th percentile
Command
K%32.6%
94th percentile
BB%5.8%
82th percentile
K-BB%26.9%
95th percentile
Velo89.0
43th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 126.3 IP · 521 BF · 2,101 pitches · 2025 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%19.2%
82th percentile
O-Whf%59.0%
94th percentile
Chase%30.2%
75th percentile
Z-Con%80.8%
82th percentile
O-Con%41.0%
95th percentile
SwStr%30.7%
89th percentile
PutAwy%22.1%
85th percentile
Approach
Zone%51.6%
61th percentile
Z-Swg%70.8%
79th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%51.1%
82th percentile
CS%18.5%
32th percentile
F-Str%56.7%
92th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF+1.5/+1.1SL-3.7/-3.1FS-4.9/+7.0SW-4.0/+1.3SI-0.8/-0.1ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.75 ft (±0.18)
Side: -0.93 ft (±0.28)
Extension: 7.50 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
141
37.6
27.7
24.8
0.0
85.9
29.4
51.8
SL
115
41.7
33.0
22.6
0.0
84.3
6.3
36.5
FS
43
46.5
18.6
25.6
0.0
78.6
4.4
27.9
SW
13
30.8
15.4
23.1
0.0
78.5
20.7
15.4
SI
2
50.0
0.0
50.0
0.0
85.5
7.7
100.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
27th pct
Effective mix
3.5
47th pct
Separation
19.1
40th pct
Shape scatter
3.4 in
82nd pct
Velo range
13.7 mph
71st pct
FF · SL · FS · SW
2025 season, 2,089 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.07
71th percentile
Where he throws
−0.08
33th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.16
94th percentile
Heart33.3%
+148.26/100
Shadow36.7%
+125.76/100
Chase20.2%
−278.14/100
Waste9.8%
−488.14/100
What makes up the total
heart · FB17.1%+0.35
shadow · SL16.0%+0.25
chase · FB4.9%−0.24
waste · SL4.9%−0.19
waste · CH3.9%−0.18
10 other locations+0.10
Total+0.07
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2025 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.