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MIA · RHP · 2026
33.7 IP · 139 BF · 539 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
115
Stuff+
96th percentile
110
ABStuff+
98th percentile
105
Pitching+
64th percentile
29.5%
K%
90th percentile
7.9%
BB%
64th percentile
2.63
FIP
95th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 33.7 IP · 139 BF · 539 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+115
96th percentile
ABStuff+110
98th percentile
Whiff%21.7%
47th percentile
CSW%42.8%
99th percentile
Results
Pitching+105
64th percentile
RV/100+1.61
92th percentile
FIP2.63
95th percentile
RA/90.80
95th percentile
GB%44.0%
61th percentile
Command
K%29.5%
90th percentile
BB%7.9%
64th percentile
K-BB%21.6%
91th percentile
Velo88.3
30th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 33.7 IP · 139 BF · 539 pitches · 2026 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%11.1%
28th percentile
O-Whf%46.9%
78th percentile
Chase%26.1%
22th percentile
Z-Con%88.9%
28th percentile
O-Con%53.1%
78th percentile
SwStr%35.8%
99th percentile
PutAwy%21.8%
85th percentile
Approach
Zone%54.5%
95th percentile
Z-Swg%52.0%
5th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%40.3%
5th percentile
CS%32.4%
99th percentile
F-Str%48.9%
42th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SW+1.0/+6.7SI-3.5/-2.1SL-3.7/+1.4CH-4.1/+0.9FFring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.43 ft (±0.35)
Side: -2.09 ft (±0.28)
Extension: 5.60 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SW
47
27.7
46.8
21.3
0.0
81.2
22.4
29.8
SI
26
76.9
11.5
7.7
0.0
85.6
6.7
34.6
SL
10
40.0
20.0
40.0
0.0
84.6
21.7
40.0
CH
1
0.0
0.0
100.0
0.0
87.0
39.0
100.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
3
4th pct
Effective mix
2.6
14th pct
Separation
27.5
98th pct
Shape scatter
3.7 in
94th pct
Velo range
12.8 mph
61st pct
SW · SI · SL
2026 season, 519 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Run value by pitch2026 · measured
Pitch
Pitches
PA reach
RV/100
Lg avg
SI
171
106
+0.08
+0.27
SL
69
53
-1.07
+0.04
SW
279
117
+3.38
-0.01
RV/100 is pitcher-positive (runs saved per 100 pitches). These are results: on a sample this size most of the gap between pitchers is the bounce of the ball, so the column never colours and never ranks a grade. The expected-value half of this card (xRV/100, locations, xwOBA) needs the run-value model and does not ship yet.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.15
82th percentile
Where he throws
+0.04
61th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.11
85th percentile
Heart34.0%
+174.27/100
Shadow38.4%
+115.87/100
Chase18.0%
−286.13/100
Waste9.7%
−497.23/100
What makes up the total
shadow · SL25.6%+0.35
heart · SI13.0%+0.32
waste · SL6.1%−0.25
waste · SI2.6%−0.22
chase · SI4.3%−0.20
11 other locations+0.15
Total+0.15
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2026 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.