← BackAdrián Morejón
SD · LHP · 2024
55.0 IP · 271 BF · 980 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
120
Stuff+
99th percentile
110
ABStuff+
99th percentile
117
Pitching+
99th percentile
21.8%
K%
52th percentile
6.6%
BB%
69th percentile
3.55
FIP
83th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 55.0 IP · 271 BF · 980 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+120
99th percentile
ABStuff+110
99th percentile
Whiff%23.3%
54th percentile
CSW%33.7%
48th percentile
Results
Pitching+117
99th percentile
RV/100+0.19
61th percentile
FIP3.55
83th percentile
RA/95.24
30th percentile
GB%49.1%
78th percentile
Command
K%21.8%
52th percentile
BB%6.6%
69th percentile
K-BB%15.1%
60th percentile
Velo93.1
91th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 55.0 IP · 271 BF · 980 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%17.0%
70th percentile
O-Whf%42.0%
53th percentile
Chase%31.2%
78th percentile
Z-Con%83.0%
70th percentile
O-Con%58.0%
53th percentile
SwStr%27.6%
55th percentile
PutAwy%16.7%
45th percentile
Approach
Zone%57.1%
95th percentile
Z-Swg%69.3%
61th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%53.0%
91th percentile
CS%18.6%
30th percentile
F-Str%51.7%
58th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI+0.5/-1.1SL-2.1/+1.6FF-0.5/+1.9SWCBring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.81 ft (±0.14)
Side: 2.33 ft (±0.26)
Extension: 6.42 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
80
70.0
13.8
13.8
0.0
79.9
2.4
28.8
SL
48
35.4
27.1
29.2
0.0
83.1
11.2
33.3
FF
37
27.0
32.4
29.7
0.0
83.2
32.6
40.5
SW
4
25.0
25.0
25.0
0.0
81.3
-3.6
50.0
CB
2
0.0
0.0
100.0
0.0
96.5
11.3
50.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
3
7th pct
Effective mix
3.0
31st pct
Separation
21.9
71st pct
Shape scatter
2.7 in
17th pct
Velo range
11.4 mph
42nd pct
SI · SL · FF
2024 season, 948 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.33
98th percentile
Where he throws
+0.33
97th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.01
52th percentile
Heart36.6%
+131.67/100
Shadow39.9%
+152.37/100
Chase18.5%
−280.53/100
Waste5.0%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
shadow · SL14.5%+0.27
heart · SI16.9%+0.27
chase · FB4.9%−0.24
shadow · SI16.6%+0.23
chase · SI4.9%−0.21
10 other locations+0.02
Total+0.33
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.