← BackAdrián Morejón
SD · LHP · 2025
70.0 IP · 285 BF · 994 pitches · 2025 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
118
Stuff+
99th percentile
108
ABStuff+
97th percentile
118
Pitching+
99th percentile
24.6%
K%
71th percentile
4.9%
BB%
95th percentile
2.68
FIP
95th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 70.0 IP · 285 BF · 994 pitches · 2025 season
Stuff
Stuff+118
99th percentile
ABStuff+108
97th percentile
Whiff%21.9%
45th percentile
CSW%39.3%
93th percentile
Results
Pitching+118
99th percentile
RV/100+2.19
98th percentile
FIP2.68
95th percentile
RA/95.01
38th percentile
GB%54.0%
90th percentile
Command
K%24.6%
71th percentile
BB%4.9%
95th percentile
K-BB%19.6%
83th percentile
Velo94.5
95th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 70.0 IP · 285 BF · 994 pitches · 2025 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%14.5%
49th percentile
O-Whf%39.7%
42th percentile
Chase%32.3%
86th percentile
Z-Con%85.5%
49th percentile
O-Con%60.3%
42th percentile
SwStr%31.2%
91th percentile
PutAwy%23.8%
91th percentile
Approach
Zone%56.1%
93th percentile
Z-Swg%60.6%
11th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%48.2%
58th percentile
CS%26.0%
94th percentile
F-Str%54.7%
84th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI+0.5/-1.1SL-2.1/+1.6CH-6.2/+3.5CTFF-0.5/+1.9ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.94 ft (±0.11)
Side: 2.45 ft (±0.23)
Extension: 6.31 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
139
55.4
16.5
19.4
0.0
80.2
13.8
31.7
SL
41
51.2
22.0
24.4
0.0
80.6
9.1
26.8
CH
11
54.5
27.3
9.1
0.0
78.9
-0.3
36.4
CT
7
42.9
57.1
0.0
0.0
83.1
20.6
28.6
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
60th pct
Effective mix
2.8
25th pct
Separation
17.2
21st pct
Shape scatter
3.1 in
59th pct
Velo range
10.2 mph
27th pct
SI · SL · CH · CT · FF
2025 season, 994 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.40
100th percentile
Where he throws
+0.36
99th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.04
69th percentile
Heart39.1%
+148.26/100
Shadow38.6%
+125.76/100
Chase17.9%
−278.14/100
Waste4.3%
−488.14/100
What makes up the total
heart · SI28.0%+0.59
chase · SI8.7%−0.36
shadow · SI23.4%+0.28
shadow · SL10.8%+0.16
waste · SI2.0%−0.16
15 other locations−0.12
Total+0.40
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2025 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.