← BackLogan Allen
CLE · LHP · 2024
86.0 IP · 433 BF · 1,658 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
92
Stuff+
12th percentile
95
ABStuff+
9th percentile
96
Pitching+
15th percentile
18.2%
K%
30th percentile
9.2%
BB%
40th percentile
6.66
FIP
13th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 86.0 IP · 433 BF · 1,658 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+92
12th percentile
ABStuff+95
9th percentile
Whiff%19.8%
29th percentile
CSW%33.5%
45th percentile
Results
Pitching+96
15th percentile
RV/100-1.70
15th percentile
FIP6.66
13th percentile
RA/99.31
3th percentile
GB%44.2%
60th percentile
Command
K%18.2%
30th percentile
BB%9.2%
40th percentile
K-BB%9.0%
28th percentile
Velo86.3
15th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 86.0 IP · 433 BF · 1,658 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%12.4%
31th percentile
O-Whf%39.1%
42th percentile
Chase%23.7%
17th percentile
Z-Con%87.6%
31th percentile
O-Con%60.9%
42th percentile
SwStr%26.4%
40th percentile
PutAwy%16.1%
39th percentile
Approach
Zone%47.3%
28th percentile
Z-Swg%69.0%
59th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%45.1%
23th percentile
CS%22.1%
74th percentile
F-Str%50.9%
52th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF+0.8/+2.5SW-0.5/+2.2CH+3.0/+6.0CT-3.0/+3.5SI+1.4/+1.4ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.38 ft (±0.10)
Side: 1.81 ft (±0.32)
Extension: 6.36 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
128
50.0
21.9
23.4
0.0
85.2
23.5
50.0
CH
63
52.4
23.8
17.5
0.0
83.5
6.7
47.6
SW
46
43.5
37.0
15.2
0.0
80.5
10.9
30.4
CT
43
25.6
27.9
30.2
0.0
86.1
18.3
51.2
SI
28
28.6
35.7
28.6
0.0
80.8
23.3
46.4
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
67th pct
Effective mix
4.5
85th pct
Separation
17.8
26th pct
Shape scatter
3.5 in
86th pct
Velo range
12.6 mph
58th pct
FF · SW · CH · CT · SI
2024 season, 1,658 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.11
29th percentile
Where he throws
−0.08
33th percentile
Which pitch there
−0.03
37th percentile
Heart28.6%
+131.67/100
Shadow40.0%
+152.37/100
Chase22.7%
−280.53/100
Waste8.7%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
chase · FB5.7%−0.28
heart · FB14.1%+0.27
shadow · FB15.9%+0.18
shadow · CH7.0%+0.16
shadow · SL6.6%+0.12
15 other locations−0.55
Total−0.11
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.