← BackKeider Montero
DET · RHP · 2024
89.0 IP · 414 BF · 1,539 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
98
Stuff+
36th percentile
100
ABStuff+
48th percentile
102
Pitching+
52th percentile
18.6%
K%
33th percentile
7.5%
BB%
58th percentile
5.86
FIP
22th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 89.0 IP · 414 BF · 1,539 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+98
36th percentile
ABStuff+100
48th percentile
Whiff%19.4%
26th percentile
CSW%34.1%
52th percentile
Results
Pitching+102
52th percentile
RV/100-0.53
37th percentile
FIP5.86
22th percentile
RA/95.26
29th percentile
GB%40.5%
44th percentile
Command
K%18.6%
33th percentile
BB%7.5%
58th percentile
K-BB%11.1%
38th percentile
Velo88.7
42th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 89.0 IP · 414 BF · 1,539 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%11.6%
24th percentile
O-Whf%41.5%
51th percentile
Chase%26.7%
38th percentile
Z-Con%88.4%
24th percentile
O-Con%58.5%
51th percentile
SwStr%27.0%
48th percentile
PutAwy%15.3%
32th percentile
Approach
Zone%53.1%
83th percentile
Z-Swg%67.3%
45th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%48.3%
56th percentile
CS%22.2%
75th percentile
F-Str%51.3%
55th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF+0.6/+2.1SL+0.4/+2.1CB+2.1/+3.8CH+4.0/-0.8SI+2.6/-0.2ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.83 ft (±0.13)
Side: -2.53 ft (±0.24)
Extension: 6.35 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
118
37.3
28.0
32.2
0.0
85.6
24.7
49.2
SL
84
34.5
31.0
15.5
0.0
82.2
23.5
35.7
CB
42
42.9
35.7
11.9
0.0
80.7
12.7
33.3
CH
33
48.5
9.1
42.4
0.0
78.6
0.7
15.2
SI
24
62.5
4.2
25.0
0.0
80.0
4.3
29.2
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
67th pct
Effective mix
4.1
74th pct
Separation
23.7
87th pct
Shape scatter
3.6 in
91st pct
Velo range
16.0 mph
88th pct
FF · SL · CB · CH · SI
2024 season, 1,539 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.14
80th percentile
Where he throws
+0.13
80th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.01
52th percentile
Heart35.1%
+131.67/100
Shadow38.1%
+152.37/100
Chase19.6%
−280.53/100
Waste7.3%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
heart · FB16.8%+0.32
chase · FB5.9%−0.29
shadow · FB16.9%+0.19
shadow · SL9.2%+0.17
waste · FB1.9%−0.12
15 other locations−0.13
Total+0.14
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.