← BackEmerson Hancock
SEA · RHP · 2024
57.0 IP · 266 BF · 1,013 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
97
Stuff+
31th percentile
97
ABStuff+
20th percentile
102
Pitching+
53th percentile
14.7%
K%
12th percentile
7.1%
BB%
63th percentile
6.14
FIP
19th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 57.0 IP · 266 BF · 1,013 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+97
31th percentile
ABStuff+97
20th percentile
Whiff%19.3%
25th percentile
CSW%31.8%
26th percentile
Results
Pitching+102
53th percentile
RV/100-0.94
25th percentile
FIP6.14
19th percentile
RA/94.26
51th percentile
GB%35.6%
23th percentile
Command
K%14.7%
12th percentile
BB%7.1%
63th percentile
K-BB%7.5%
22th percentile
Velo90.4
64th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 57.0 IP · 266 BF · 1,013 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%14.9%
53th percentile
O-Whf%31.4%
17th percentile
Chase%27.6%
46th percentile
Z-Con%85.1%
53th percentile
O-Con%68.6%
17th percentile
SwStr%25.1%
24th percentile
PutAwy%11.9%
11th percentile
Approach
Zone%51.1%
68th percentile
Z-Swg%71.4%
78th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%50.0%
74th percentile
CS%19.6%
43th percentile
F-Str%51.7%
58th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF-1.7/+0.5SI-1.2/-1.2CH+0.1/+0.5SLCT-3.4/+4.4ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.57 ft (±0.13)
Side: -1.77 ft (±0.17)
Extension: 6.39 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
65
21.5
36.9
32.3
0.0
84.5
32.9
56.9
SI
60
50.0
21.7
21.7
0.0
81.6
13.6
50.0
CH
53
35.8
26.4
30.2
0.0
83.5
6.9
37.7
SL
17
41.2
29.4
23.5
0.0
78.0
16.7
23.5
CT
7
28.6
28.6
28.6
0.0
82.6
15.8
28.6
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
67th pct
Effective mix
4.3
80th pct
Separation
16.9
19th pct
Shape scatter
2.9 in
35th pct
Velo range
10.5 mph
30th pct
FF · SI · CH · SL · CT
2024 season, 1,013 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.01
49th percentile
Where he throws
+0.06
66th percentile
Which pitch there
−0.08
19th percentile
Heart28.7%
+131.67/100
Shadow42.8%
+152.37/100
Chase20.6%
−280.53/100
Waste7.9%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
chase · FB5.1%−0.25
heart · FB12.7%+0.25
shadow · CH8.8%+0.20
chase · SI4.4%−0.19
shadow · SI13.0%+0.18
15 other locations−0.19
Total−0.01
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.