← BackJosé Ferrer
SEA · LHP · 2026
59.3 IP · 294 BF · 1,079 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
121
Stuff+
99th percentile
110
ABStuff+
99th percentile
116
Pitching+
99th percentile
18.0%
K%
31th percentile
6.1%
BB%
82th percentile
4.36
FIP
65th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 59.3 IP · 294 BF · 1,079 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+121
99th percentile
ABStuff+110
99th percentile
Whiff%18.3%
23th percentile
CSW%32.8%
45th percentile
Results
Pitching+116
99th percentile
RV/100-0.65
36th percentile
FIP4.36
65th percentile
RA/95.46
27th percentile
GB%56.6%
92th percentile
Command
K%18.0%
31th percentile
BB%6.1%
82th percentile
K-BB%11.9%
51th percentile
Velo94.6
96th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 59.3 IP · 294 BF · 1,079 pitches · 2026 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%12.2%
38th percentile
O-Whf%34.2%
27th percentile
Chase%29.7%
51th percentile
Z-Con%87.8%
38th percentile
O-Con%65.8%
27th percentile
SwStr%26.0%
40th percentile
PutAwy%15.0%
32th percentile
Approach
Zone%53.6%
93th percentile
Z-Swg%67.8%
59th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%50.1%
78th percentile
CS%21.2%
64th percentile
F-Str%53.1%
75th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI-2.7/-3.3CH-1.5/-4.6SL-1.4/-1.3FFring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.72 ft (±0.10)
Side: 2.94 ft (±0.17)
Extension: 5.96 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
156
64.7
17.9
16.0
0.0
81.9
9.2
39.7
CH
31
35.5
32.3
22.6
0.0
77.4
15.2
25.8
SL
25
32.0
32.0
32.0
0.0
78.2
13.8
28.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
3
4th pct
Effective mix
2.3
7th pct
Separation
18.6
37th pct
Shape scatter
2.7 in
14th pct
Velo range
9.9 mph
23rd pct
SI · CH · SL
2026 season, 1,072 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Run value by pitch2026 · measured
Pitch
Pitches
PA reach
RV/100
Lg avg
CH
196
121
+0.28
-0.07
SI
740
286
0.00
+0.27
SL
136
106
-5.61
+0.04
RV/100 is pitcher-positive (runs saved per 100 pitches). These are results: on a sample this size most of the gap between pitchers is the bounce of the ball, so the column never colours and never ranks a grade. The expected-value half of this card (xRV/100, locations, xwOBA) needs the run-value model and does not ship yet.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.22
89th percentile
Where he throws
+0.06
66th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.16
93th percentile
Heart35.3%
+174.27/100
Shadow36.4%
+115.87/100
Chase20.3%
−286.13/100
Waste8.0%
−497.23/100
What makes up the total
heart · SI29.2%+0.72
chase · SI10.6%−0.50
shadow · SI26.8%+0.33
waste · SI2.0%−0.17
waste · CH3.4%−0.15
11 other locations−0.02
Total+0.22
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2026 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.