← BackSimeon Woods Richardson
MIN · RHP · 2026
57.3 IP · 305 BF · 1,160 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
96
Stuff+
18th percentile
97
ABStuff+
16th percentile
103
Pitching+
44th percentile
13.1%
K%
5th percentile
12.1%
BB%
23th percentile
6.74
FIP
18th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 57.3 IP · 305 BF · 1,160 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+96
18th percentile
ABStuff+97
16th percentile
Whiff%16.1%
13th percentile
CSW%30.8%
22th percentile
Results
Pitching+103
44th percentile
RV/100-1.69
18th percentile
FIP6.74
18th percentile
RA/93.61
68th percentile
GB%38.8%
38th percentile
Command
K%13.1%
5th percentile
BB%12.1%
23th percentile
K-BB%1.0%
5th percentile
Velo88.2
29th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 57.3 IP · 305 BF · 1,160 pitches · 2026 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%11.2%
29th percentile
O-Whf%29.1%
15th percentile
Chase%22.2%
5th percentile
Z-Con%88.8%
29th percentile
O-Con%70.9%
15th percentile
SwStr%23.6%
16th percentile
PutAwy%12.1%
14th percentile
Approach
Zone%48.1%
59th percentile
Z-Swg%64.0%
29th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%42.3%
13th percentile
CS%21.9%
74th percentile
F-Str%44.7%
20th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF+1.3/-0.1FS+1.8/-2.8SL+4.5/-0.1CB-2.2/-1.0ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.45 ft (±0.12)
Side: -1.22 ft (±0.22)
Extension: 6.69 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
101
33.7
27.7
23.8
0.0
82.2
29.3
41.6
FS
54
57.4
14.8
20.4
0.0
81.6
7.7
44.4
SL
53
30.2
37.7
28.3
0.0
85.1
19.3
45.3
CB
16
37.5
50.0
12.5
0.0
87.9
10.7
56.2
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
23rd pct
Effective mix
3.5
44th pct
Separation
22.7
82nd pct
Shape scatter
3.8 in
96th pct
Velo range
15.8 mph
89th pct
FF · FS · SL · CB
2026 season, 1,160 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Run value by pitch2026 · measured
Pitch
Pitches
PA reach
RV/100
Lg avg
CB
112
89
+1.11
-0.34
FF
504
244
-0.10
-0.01
FS
287
171
-4.93
+0.13
SL
257
162
-2.38
+0.04
RV/100 is pitcher-positive (runs saved per 100 pitches). These are results: on a sample this size most of the gap between pitchers is the bounce of the ball, so the column never colours and never ranks a grade. The expected-value half of this card (xRV/100, locations, xwOBA) needs the run-value model and does not ship yet.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.04
61th percentile
Where he throws
−0.00
50th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.04
66th percentile
Heart31.6%
+174.27/100
Shadow39.1%
+115.87/100
Chase21.3%
−286.13/100
Waste8.0%
−497.23/100
What makes up the total
heart · FB17.4%+0.37
chase · FB6.5%−0.35
waste · CH4.0%−0.17
shadow · CH8.6%+0.17
shadow · FB18.3%+0.13
12 other locations−0.11
Total+0.04
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2026 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.