← BackLuis Ortiz
PIT · RHP · 2023
78.7 IP · 400 BF · 1,452 pitches · 2023 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
106
Stuff+
79th percentile
102
ABStuff+
71th percentile
101
Pitching+
50th percentile
14.8%
K%
13th percentile
12.0%
BB%
21th percentile
6.20
FIP
22th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 78.7 IP · 400 BF · 1,452 pitches · 2023 season
Stuff
Stuff+106
79th percentile
ABStuff+102
71th percentile
Whiff%20.7%
33th percentile
CSW%32.3%
32th percentile
Results
Pitching+101
50th percentile
RV/100-0.76
30th percentile
FIP6.20
22th percentile
RA/94.23
60th percentile
GB%48.6%
73th percentile
Command
K%14.8%
13th percentile
BB%12.0%
21th percentile
K-BB%2.8%
5th percentile
Velo91.8
83th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2023 graded MLB pitchers · 78.7 IP · 400 BF · 1,452 pitches · 2023 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%12.3%
25th percentile
O-Whf%39.1%
44th percentile
Chase%26.2%
33th percentile
Z-Con%87.7%
25th percentile
O-Con%60.9%
44th percentile
SwStr%24.5%
20th percentile
PutAwy%14.3%
22th percentile
Approach
Zone%45.8%
22th percentile
Z-Swg%68.2%
57th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%45.5%
33th percentile
CS%19.9%
43th percentile
F-Str%42.0%
11th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SL-0.8/+1.5SI-2.4/-0.4FF-1.5/-1.8CH+0.8/+0.7ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.31 ft (±0.13)
Side: -1.48 ft (±0.17)
Extension: 6.78 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
95
64.2
14.7
21.1
0.0
87.6
-5.8
52.6
SL
88
48.9
22.7
27.3
0.0
84.7
6.9
40.9
FF
73
24.7
41.1
28.8
0.0
87.2
30.5
57.5
CH
32
56.2
28.1
15.6
0.0
81.8
1.6
37.5
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
35th pct
Effective mix
3.8
71st pct
Separation
15.7
12th pct
Shape scatter
3.2 in
64th pct
Velo range
10.4 mph
29th pct
SL · SI · FF · CH
2023 season, 1,452 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.12
29th percentile
Where he throws
−0.21
13th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.09
79th percentile
Heart26.4%
+132.31/100
Shadow39.5%
+150.11/100
Chase24.8%
−277.79/100
Waste9.3%
−492.99/100
What makes up the total
chase · FB5.1%−0.26
shadow · SL12.4%+0.24
chase · SI5.6%−0.23
shadow · SI13.0%+0.20
heart · FB10.4%+0.19
14 other locations−0.26
Total−0.12
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2023 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.