← BackAnthony Molina
COL · RHP · 2024
52.7 IP · 253 BF · 1,005 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
94
Stuff+
18th percentile
98
ABStuff+
25th percentile
96
Pitching+
15th percentile
15.4%
K%
16th percentile
8.3%
BB%
49th percentile
4.72
FIP
48th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 52.7 IP · 253 BF · 1,005 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+94
18th percentile
ABStuff+98
25th percentile
Whiff%15.9%
11th percentile
CSW%29.5%
5th percentile
Results
Pitching+96
15th percentile
RV/100-0.77
30th percentile
FIP4.72
48th percentile
RA/94.27
51th percentile
GB%40.5%
44th percentile
Command
K%15.4%
16th percentile
BB%8.3%
49th percentile
K-BB%7.1%
21th percentile
Velo90.4
64th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 52.7 IP · 253 BF · 1,005 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%8.9%
5th percentile
O-Whf%39.3%
43th percentile
Chase%22.4%
10th percentile
Z-Con%91.1%
9th percentile
O-Con%60.7%
43th percentile
SwStr%22.6%
5th percentile
PutAwy%10.6%
5th percentile
Approach
Zone%50.3%
59th percentile
Z-Swg%73.5%
90th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%48.2%
54th percentile
CS%19.5%
42th percentile
F-Str%49.0%
38th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF+0.5/-0.4CH-0.5/-2.3SL+11.9/-8.6CB+11.3/-3.8CTring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.30 ft (±0.10)
Side: -1.71 ft (±0.31)
Extension: 6.22 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
87
35.6
14.9
42.5
0.0
86.4
25.4
55.2
SL
50
44.0
24.0
22.0
0.0
81.5
13.4
38.0
CH
38
44.7
21.1
31.6
0.0
79.4
5.4
34.2
CB
13
46.2
15.4
23.1
0.0
83.3
4.4
38.5
CT
2
50.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
89.9
30.2
100.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
4
30th pct
Effective mix
3.4
47th pct
Separation
16.7
18th pct
Shape scatter
2.9 in
36th pct
Velo range
11.8 mph
48th pct
FF · CH · SL · CB
2024 season, 996 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.06
39th percentile
Where he throws
−0.06
39th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.00
49th percentile
Heart29.9%
+131.67/100
Shadow40.1%
+152.37/100
Chase19.6%
−280.53/100
Waste10.3%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
chase · FB7.8%−0.38
heart · FB16.5%+0.32
shadow · FB21.0%+0.23
waste · CH4.2%−0.20
shadow · CH8.4%+0.19
14 other locations−0.21
Total−0.06
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.