← BackBrent Headrick
NYY · LHP · 2026
75.7 IP · 326 BF · 1,282 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
106
Stuff+
74th percentile
103
ABStuff+
75th percentile
105
Pitching+
61th percentile
30.1%
K%
91th percentile
8.0%
BB%
62th percentile
3.00
FIP
95th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 75.7 IP · 326 BF · 1,282 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+106
74th percentile
ABStuff+103
75th percentile
Whiff%29.4%
88th percentile
CSW%37.5%
88th percentile
Results
Pitching+105
61th percentile
FIP3.00
95th percentile
RA/94.64
45th percentile
GB%37.3%
32th percentile
Command
K%30.1%
91th percentile
BB%8.0%
62th percentile
K-BB%22.1%
91th percentile
Velo89.9
51th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF+1.8/0.0SL+2.9/-1.3SI+5.2/+0.4FS+1.0/+1.8ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 6.32 ft (±0.09)
Side: 1.74 ft (±0.14)
Extension: 6.89 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
108
27.8
32.4
32.4
0.0
83.0
30.5
43.5
SL
47
51.1
19.1
21.3
0.0
79.7
5.1
27.7
SI
28
50.0
10.7
32.1
0.0
80.8
11.9
39.3
FS
18
38.9
11.1
44.4
0.0
70.7
-0.5
22.2
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.