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PHI · RHP · 2024
55.7 IP · 254 BF · 1,063 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
113
Stuff+
95th percentile
108
ABStuff+
97th percentile
114
Pitching+
99th percentile
28.0%
K%
84th percentile
6.7%
BB%
68th percentile
2.60
FIP
95th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 55.7 IP · 254 BF · 1,063 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+113
95th percentile
ABStuff+108
97th percentile
Whiff%25.5%
69th percentile
CSW%37.5%
84th percentile
Results
Pitching+114
99th percentile
RV/100+0.76
78th percentile
FIP2.60
95th percentile
RA/96.31
17th percentile
GB%54.8%
90th percentile
Command
K%28.0%
84th percentile
BB%6.7%
68th percentile
K-BB%21.3%
87th percentile
Velo91.0
72th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 55.7 IP · 254 BF · 1,063 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%17.6%
75th percentile
O-Whf%44.4%
62th percentile
Chase%27.9%
48th percentile
Z-Con%82.4%
75th percentile
O-Con%55.6%
62th percentile
SwStr%31.3%
89th percentile
PutAwy%17.5%
52th percentile
Approach
Zone%52.1%
77th percentile
Z-Swg%61.4%
5th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%45.3%
24th percentile
CS%23.6%
86th percentile
F-Str%52.4%
63th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SW-1.0/+0.5FF+0.2/-3.1SI+1.9/-1.7ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.65 ft (±0.18)
Side: -1.47 ft (±0.28)
Extension: 6.26 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SW
89
49.4
20.2
27.0
0.0
79.0
11.8
29.2
FF
34
52.9
20.6
23.5
0.0
81.6
26.9
38.2
SI
34
70.6
8.8
20.6
0.0
84.1
-6.7
41.2
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
3
7th pct
Effective mix
2.6
17th pct
Separation
26.1
95th pct
Shape scatter
3.4 in
81st pct
Velo range
11.4 mph
42nd pct
SW · FF · SI
2024 season, 1,063 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
+0.11
75th percentile
Where he throws
+0.04
61th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.07
79th percentile
Heart29.3%
+131.67/100
Shadow42.0%
+152.37/100
Chase20.4%
−280.53/100
Waste8.4%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
shadow · SL24.5%+0.46
chase · FB5.5%−0.27
heart · FB10.5%+0.20
waste · SL5.1%−0.20
waste · FB2.4%−0.15
7 other locations+0.07
Total+0.11
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.