← BackAndrew Hoffmann
AZ · RHP · 2025
11.3 IP · 61 BF · 245 pitches · 2025 season
MED Descriptive — not a forecast
117
Stuff+
98th percentile
111
ABStuff+
99th percentile
103
Pitching+
53th percentile
19.7%
K%
39th percentile
16.4%
BB%
7th percentile
6.53
FIP
18th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 11.3 IP · 61 BF · 245 pitches · 2025 season
Stuff
Stuff+117
98th percentile
ABStuff+111
99th percentile
Whiff%27.8%
80th percentile
CSW%31.6%
26th percentile
Results
Pitching+103
53th percentile
RV/100-1.62
18th percentile
FIP6.53
18th percentile
RA/95.56
25th percentile
GB%33.3%
20th percentile
Command
K%19.7%
39th percentile
BB%16.4%
7th percentile
K-BB%3.3%
11th percentile
Velo90.7
66th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 11.3 IP · 61 BF · 245 pitches · 2025 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%25.6%
96th percentile
O-Whf%33.3%
20th percentile
Chase%24.8%
25th percentile
Z-Con%74.4%
95th percentile
O-Con%66.7%
20th percentile
SwStr%24.9%
24th percentile
PutAwy%12.9%
16th percentile
Approach
Zone%45.7%
13th percentile
Z-Swg%73.2%
90th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%46.9%
46th percentile
CS%15.0%
5th percentile
F-Str%48.3%
37th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
CH-6.8/+4.4FF-1.3/+0.1SL+0.5/+0.4CBring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.85 ft (±0.10)
Side: -0.88 ft (±0.15)
Extension: 6.66 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
21
38.1
33.3
23.8
0.0
86.7
29.6
33.3
CH
14
28.6
57.1
14.3
0.0
81.9
13.0
28.6
SL
3
0.0
66.7
33.3
0.0
86.4
31.2
66.7
CB
1
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
89.8
36.5
100.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
3
6th pct
Effective mix
2.5
13th pct
Separation
16.0
11th pct
Shape scatter
3.8 in
97th pct
Velo range
7.0 mph
2nd pct
CH · FF · SL
2025 season, 239 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.32
6th percentile
Where he throws
−0.38
2th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.06
75th percentile
Heart24.9%
+148.26/100
Shadow38.8%
+125.76/100
Chase25.7%
−278.14/100
Waste10.6%
−488.14/100
What makes up the total
chase · FB9.0%−0.45
shadow · CH17.6%+0.37
waste · CH6.9%−0.32
heart · FB14.7%+0.30
chase · CH15.1%−0.22
10 other locations+0.00
Total−0.32
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2025 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.