← BackJordan Wicks
CHC · LHP · 2024
43.0 IP · 213 BF · 851 pitches · 2024 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
95
Stuff+
23th percentile
97
ABStuff+
21th percentile
106
Pitching+
82th percentile
19.7%
K%
39th percentile
9.4%
BB%
37th percentile
5.93
FIP
21th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 43.0 IP · 213 BF · 851 pitches · 2024 season
Stuff
Stuff+95
23th percentile
ABStuff+97
21th percentile
Whiff%22.0%
45th percentile
CSW%29.3%
5th percentile
Results
Pitching+106
82th percentile
RV/100-1.67
16th percentile
FIP5.93
21th percentile
RA/94.81
39th percentile
GB%40.5%
44th percentile
Command
K%19.7%
39th percentile
BB%9.4%
37th percentile
K-BB%10.3%
34th percentile
Velo88.1
33th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2024 graded MLB pitchers · 43.0 IP · 213 BF · 851 pitches · 2024 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%13.9%
44th percentile
O-Whf%37.4%
35th percentile
Chase%31.7%
81th percentile
Z-Con%86.1%
44th percentile
O-Con%62.6%
35th percentile
SwStr%23.4%
5th percentile
PutAwy%15.2%
31th percentile
Approach
Zone%45.6%
17th percentile
Z-Swg%72.4%
84th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%50.3%
77th percentile
CS%15.5%
5th percentile
F-Str%50.7%
51th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
FF-1.6/+2.9CH-1.6/+0.8SI-0.9/-0.1CBSL-0.3/+0.1SWring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.94 ft (±0.10)
Side: 2.26 ft (±0.20)
Extension: 6.33 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
71
26.8
40.8
26.8
0.0
82.3
31.3
42.3
CH
37
48.6
27.0
21.6
0.0
76.3
-2.4
24.3
SI
27
59.3
22.2
14.8
0.0
83.5
6.6
44.4
SL
6
66.7
0.0
33.3
0.0
80.8
24.7
50.0
CB
5
40.0
20.0
40.0
0.0
81.4
8.7
60.0
SW
2
50.0
50.0
0.0
0.0
80.5
35.3
100.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
6
91st pct
Effective mix
4.2
78th pct
Separation
21.3
65th pct
Shape scatter
2.7 in
12th pct
Velo range
14.2 mph
75th pct
FF · CH · SI · CB · SL · SW
2024 season, 851 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.03
44th percentile
Where he throws
−0.09
30th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.07
76th percentile
Heart29.5%
+131.67/100
Shadow39.1%
+152.37/100
Chase22.1%
−280.53/100
Waste9.3%
−494.43/100
What makes up the total
heart · FB20.8%+0.40
chase · FB6.0%−0.30
shadow · CH10.6%+0.24
shadow · FB16.8%+0.19
waste · CH3.5%−0.17
15 other locations−0.39
Total−0.03
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2024 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.