← BackNoah Schultz
CWS · LHP · 2026
69.7 IP · 325 BF · 1,262 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
103
Stuff+
57th percentile
101
ABStuff+
55th percentile
106
Pitching+
74th percentile
20.6%
K%
48th percentile
9.5%
BB%
46th percentile
5.17
FIP
42th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 69.7 IP · 325 BF · 1,262 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+103
57th percentile
ABStuff+101
55th percentile
Whiff%19.4%
30th percentile
CSW%32.8%
45th percentile
Results
Pitching+106
74th percentile
RV/100-0.85
31th percentile
FIP5.17
42th percentile
RA/94.91
39th percentile
GB%36.9%
30th percentile
Command
K%20.6%
48th percentile
BB%9.5%
46th percentile
K-BB%11.1%
47th percentile
Velo90.9
65th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 69.7 IP · 325 BF · 1,262 pitches · 2026 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%11.1%
28th percentile
O-Whf%37.4%
42th percentile
Chase%28.6%
42th percentile
Z-Con%88.9%
28th percentile
O-Con%62.6%
42th percentile
SwStr%26.9%
52th percentile
PutAwy%16.0%
41th percentile
Approach
Zone%49.5%
74th percentile
Z-Swg%62.2%
19th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%45.2%
31th percentile
CS%22.1%
76th percentile
F-Str%50.5%
54th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI+1.1/-1.7CT+1.1/+1.5FF-2.0/-0.3SW-1.3/+1.2CH+1.3/-1.5CB+0.5/-3.4ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.81 ft (±0.17)
Side: 2.01 ft (±0.29)
Extension: 6.30 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
70
48.6
24.3
22.9
0.0
82.5
13.6
47.1
FF
50
36.0
26.0
28.0
0.0
83.9
23.9
42.0
CT
43
23.3
39.5
23.3
0.0
82.4
28.2
37.2
SW
25
20.0
44.0
20.0
0.0
84.3
17.5
48.0
CH
24
50.0
0.0
45.8
0.0
74.8
5.3
29.2
CB
5
20.0
40.0
40.0
0.0
80.4
12.6
40.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
5
54th pct
Effective mix
4.8
85th pct
Separation
19.7
52nd pct
Shape scatter
3.4 in
82nd pct
Velo range
12.6 mph
58th pct
SI · CT · FF · SW · CH
2026 season, 1,233 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Run value by pitch2026 · measured
Pitch
Pitches
PA reach
RV/100
Lg avg
CH
121
87
-3.16
-0.07
CT
279
186
-0.81
-0.07
FF
277
169
-0.58
-0.01
SI
326
196
+1.11
+0.27
SW
230
152
-2.80
-0.01
RV/100 is pitcher-positive (runs saved per 100 pitches). These are results: on a sample this size most of the gap between pitchers is the bounce of the ball, so the column never colours and never ranks a grade. The expected-value half of this card (xRV/100, locations, xwOBA) needs the run-value model and does not ship yet.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.01
50th percentile
Where he throws
+0.07
67th percentile
Which pitch there
−0.08
27th percentile
Heart33.3%
+174.27/100
Shadow38.5%
+115.87/100
Chase21.1%
−286.13/100
Waste7.1%
−497.23/100
What makes up the total
heart · SI10.3%+0.25
chase · FB4.3%−0.23
chase · SI3.8%−0.18
heart · FB7.9%+0.17
chase · CT4.2%−0.16
19 other locations+0.13
Total−0.01
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2026 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.