← BackParker Messick
CLE · LHP · 2026
178.7 IP · 746 BF · 2,940 pitches · 2026 season
HIGH Descriptive — not a forecast
103
Stuff+
55th percentile
102
ABStuff+
65th percentile
106
Pitching+
67th percentile
25.9%
K%
78th percentile
6.3%
BB%
80th percentile
3.57
FIP
85th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2026 graded MLB pitchers · 178.7 IP · 746 BF · 2,940 pitches · 2026 season
Stuff
Stuff+103
55th percentile
ABStuff+102
65th percentile
Whiff%22.9%
55th percentile
CSW%33.2%
50th percentile
Results
Pitching+106
67th percentile
FIP3.57
85th percentile
RA/93.48
71th percentile
GB%45.0%
65th percentile
Command
K%25.9%
78th percentile
BB%6.3%
80th percentile
K-BB%19.6%
86th percentile
Velo90.2
56th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
CT+1.8/+0.2SL+2.4/+1.4CH-3.5/-0.6FF+0.9/+2.7CB+3.4/+4.0SI+1.3/+1.9ring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.42 ft (±0.11)
Side: 1.05 ft (±0.15)
Extension: 6.47 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
FF
186
35.5
26.9
21.5
0.0
81.5
31.9
34.9
CH
126
54.0
16.7
23.8
0.0
79.5
2.2
25.4
SI
108
52.8
11.1
28.7
0.0
84.1
10.5
43.5
CB
33
39.4
33.3
9.1
0.0
79.8
20.1
24.2
SL
32
43.8
31.2
18.8
0.0
79.3
14.2
43.8
CT
15
46.7
33.3
6.7
0.0
74.5
23.7
33.3
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.