← BackBrandyn Garcia
AZ · LHP · 2025
11.7 IP · 66 BF · 277 pitches · 2025 season
MED Descriptive — not a forecast
115
Stuff+
97th percentile
108
ABStuff+
98th percentile
109
Pitching+
88th percentile
21.2%
K%
49th percentile
12.1%
BB%
20th percentile
3.36
FIP
87th percentile
Grades describe this season's stuff and run prevention. They are not forecasts: on clean season pairs the model has not beaten naive persistence (RESULTS-MLB §13), so nothing here projects next season.
Percentile rankings
vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 11.7 IP · 66 BF · 277 pitches · 2025 season
Stuff
Stuff+115
97th percentile
ABStuff+108
98th percentile
Whiff%20.5%
35th percentile
CSW%32.0%
31th percentile
Results
Pitching+109
88th percentile
RV/100-0.56
39th percentile
FIP3.36
87th percentile
RA/93.86
63th percentile
GB%51.2%
84th percentile
Command
K%21.2%
49th percentile
BB%12.1%
20th percentile
K-BB%9.1%
30th percentile
Velo92.1
82th percentile
How to read these
Each row is his rank, 1 to 99, among all graded MLB pitchers this season; the tick is the median. Green is good for him, red bad, whatever the stat's direction (a low FIP ranks high). Grey circles are descriptive rates with no good direction, and n= in place of a rank means too few events to rank. Grades are descriptive, not forecasts.
Percentile rankings
Raw plate discipline · vs 2025 graded MLB pitchers · 11.7 IP · 66 BF · 277 pitches · 2025 season
Swing & miss
Z-Whf%13.8%
42th percentile
O-Whf%42.9%
54th percentile
Chase%20.6%
5th percentile
Z-Con%86.2%
42th percentile
O-Con%57.1%
54th percentile
SwStr%26.4%
42th percentile
PutAwy%16.7%
46th percentile
Approach
Zone%50.9%
54th percentile
Z-Swg%66.7%
49th percentile, descriptive, no good or bad direction
Swing%44.0%
20th percentile
CS%21.1%
64th percentile
F-Str%53.0%
74th percentile
How to read these
Raw rates with this season's descriptive ranks. Sample-adjusted (shrunk) rankings are not shown yet: the reliability constants behind them were measured on college data and are being re-measured on MLB. Until then a small sample here is a small sample — hover the leaderboard column for its event count.
ArsenalKey columns; every column is on the Arsenal tab
Movement Profile
SI-3.1/0.0SW+2.2/-1.6SLCHring = slot expectation ±1σ/2σ · HB mirrored for LHP · descriptive
Release Traits
Height: 5.44 ft (±0.14)
Side: 1.74 ft (±0.14)
Extension: 5.53 ft
Season means; the ± is the SD across his pitches. Per-pitch release plots land in a later wave.
Batted Ball Against
Pitch
N_BIP
GB%
FB%
LD%
PU%
Avg EV
Avg LA
HrdHit%
SI
29
58.6
13.8
27.6
0.0
86.6
3.9
65.5
SW
9
33.3
44.4
22.2
0.0
73.7
20.6
0.0
SL
5
40.0
0.0
60.0
0.0
86.6
19.4
60.0
Every pitch type he threw, ordered by balls in play. Rows under 5 BIP are dimmed rather than dropped — a slider put in play twice is a fact about the slider.
Arsenal
Pitches
3
6th pct
Effective mix
2.7
18th pct
Separation
23.4
84th pct
Shape scatter
2.7 in
16th pct
Velo range
11.6 mph
45th pct
SI · SW · SL
2025 season, 271 pitches; percentiles vs MLB pitchers with 100+ that season. A description of the arsenal, not a grade: none of these predicted next season beyond Pitching+ and his own prior year. For shape scatter a higher percentile is MORE scatter.
Location value
runs per 100 pitches vs league
Total
−0.21
14th percentile
Where he throws
−0.32
5th percentile
Which pitch there
+0.10
88th percentile
Heart31.1%
+148.26/100
Shadow34.3%
+125.76/100
Chase23.1%
−278.14/100
Waste11.6%
−488.14/100
What makes up the total
heart · SI18.1%+0.38
chase · SI9.0%−0.38
waste · SI4.0%−0.31
waste · SL6.9%−0.27
shadow · SI21.3%+0.26
6 other locations+0.10
Total−0.21
Pitcher-positive, centred on the 2025 league mean (+0.01 RV/100). Ranks are descriptive: the year-to-year reliability of this mix on MLB has not been measured yet, so no cell is verdict-coloured. His actual run value minus this mix — execution — is deliberately not shown.